Region = PA Mid 1 Nickname = A Falcons Coach = Ian BakerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.5028839 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 330 H Red Lion PA York 1 (17- 3, 93.9) 4-14 403 A State College PA CSNLL (11- 7, 82.2) 7- 5 405 H Wilson West Lawn PA Berks (12- 7, 86.4) 7- 8 406 A Central Dauphin East PA Mid 1 ( 4-12, 72.3) 14- 5 408 A Central Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 6- 8, 81.3) 3- 2 410 A Elizabethtown PA LL02 (15- 9, 88.1) 2-15 412 H Carlisle PA Mid 1 (15- 6, 89.6) 5- 9 414 H Bishop McDevitt PA Mid 1 ( 4-12, 75.8) 9-11 415 H New Oxford PA York 2 ( 1-17, 65.5) 16- 1 421 A Northern York PA Mid 1 ( 8-10, 82.4) 4- 9 423 H Mechanicsburg PA Mid 1 ( 5-12, 75.5) 16- 7 426 H Palmyra PA Mid 1 (11- 7, 84.0) 9-13 428 A Hershey PA Mid 1 ( 6-12, 80.3) 6- 5 430 H South-Western PA York 1 ( 9- 8, 86.1) 4-10 503 H Harrisburg Academy PA Mid 1 (10- 6, 83.0) 15- 6 505 A Cumberland Valley PA Mid 1 (13- 6, 89.4) 5-12 507 H Chambersburg PA Mid 1 ( 7- 7, 82.7) 9-11 508 A Conrad Weiser PA Berks (21- 4, 92.6) 6-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Red Lion 4-14 -10 -12 0.00 403 A State College 7- 5 2 -2 ++ 4.35 405 H Wilson West Lawn 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.94 406 A Central Dauphin East 14- 5 9 7 1.47 408 A Central Dauphin 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.40 410 A Elizabethtown 2-15 -13 -8 -1.71 412 H Carlisle 5- 9 -4 -8 ++ 4.17 414 H Bishop McDevitt 9-11 -2 5 --- -7.61 415 H New Oxford 16- 1 15 15 0.00 421 A Northern York 4- 9 -5 -2 - -2.41 423 H Mechanicsburg 16- 7 9 5 + 3.07 426 H Palmyra 9-13 -4 -2 -1.44 428 A Hershey 6- 5 1 0 1.49 430 H South-Western 4-10 -6 -4 -1.32 503 H Harrisburg Academy 15- 6 9 -1 +++ 10.60 505 A Cumberland Valley 5-12 -7 -9 + 2.53 507 H Chambersburg 9-11 -2 -1 -0.76 508 A Conrad Weiser 6-12 -6 -12 ++ 4.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 H Bishop McDevitt 9-11 -2 5 --- -7.61 421 A Northern York 4- 9 -5 -2 - -2.41OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 H Harrisburg Academy 15- 6 9 -1 +++ 10.60 403 A State College 7- 5 2 -2 ++ 4.35 412 H Carlisle 5- 9 -4 -8 ++ 4.17 508 A Conrad Weiser 6-12 -6 -12 ++ 4.00 405 H Wilson West Lawn 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.94 408 A Central Dauphin 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.40 423 H Mechanicsburg 16- 7 9 5 + 3.07 505 A Cumberland Valley 5-12 -7 -9 + 2.53/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.65 Local Power Rank........... 28 Local SOS Rating......... 63.31 Local SOS Rank............. 25 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 28 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 34 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 37 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.0