Conf =  WestMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   John Rauseo           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.2893219    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Belchertown            MA 2          ( 0-16, 71.8)    14- 1   
 405 H Cathedral Springfield  MA 2          ( 3-14, 78.5)    18- 2   
 406 H Northampton            MA 2          (14- 7, 92.0)    10- 6   
 409 A Minnechaug             MA 2          (10-10, 89.5)    14- 6   
 413 H West Springfield       MA 2          (16- 2, 99.9)     8-11   
 414 A Deerfield              NE 1  West    (15- 1, 99.9)     4-21   
 419 A Westfield              MA 2          ( 6-12, 85.4)    12- 8   
 422 H Minnechaug             MA 2          (10-10, 89.5)     8- 5   
 424 A Pinkerton              NH 1          (14- 5, 92.2)    11-12  o
 427 A East Longmeadow        MA 2          ( 8-11, 86.4)    10- 2   
 430 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          ( 7-11, 85.5)    15- 2   
 502 A Medfield               MA 2          (19- 5, 95.5)     9-20   
 504 A Agawam                 MA 2          ( 8-12, 84.9)    14- 2   
 507 H South Hadley           MA 2          (18- 2, 97.7)    12-13  o
 512 A Cheshire HS            CT L          (21- 2, 99.4)     2-13   
 514 A South Hadley           MA 2          (18- 2, 97.7)     9-12   
 518 H Westfield              MA 2          ( 6-12, 85.4)    11- 6   
 521 A Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          ( 7-11, 85.5)     9- 8  o
 524 H St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (16- 5, 99.9)     9- 7   
 526 H Algonquin              MA 2          (13-10, 94.1)     9- 5   
 604 H East Longmeadow        MA 2          ( 8-11, 86.4)    14- 8   
 607 A West Springfield       MA 2          (16- 2, 99.9)     7- 6  o
 611 N South Hadley           MA 2          (18- 2, 97.7)     9- 5   
 615 N St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (16- 5, 99.9)    12-11 4o
 619 N Medfield               MA 2          (19- 5, 95.5)     6-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Belchertown            14- 1      13    22           0.00
   405 H Cathedral Springfield  18- 2      16    16           0.00
   406 H Northampton            10- 6       4     3           0.96
   409 A Minnechaug             14- 6       8     4    +      3.29
   413 H West Springfield        8-11      -3    -4           1.81
   414 A Deerfield               4-21     -17    -5          n/a  
   419 A Westfield              12- 8       4     8    --    -4.79
   422 H Minnechaug              8- 5       3     5    -     -2.60
   424 A Pinkerton              11-12  o   -1     1          n/a  
   427 A East Longmeadow        10- 2       8     7           0.20
   430 H Amherst-Pelham         15- 2      13     9           0.45
   502 A Medfield                9-20     -11    -1          n/a  
   504 A Agawam                 14- 2      12     9           0.70
   507 H South Hadley           12-13  o   -1    -2           1.63
   512 A Cheshire HS             2-13     -11    -5          n/a  
   514 A South Hadley            9-12      -3    -3           0.52
   518 H Westfield              11- 6       5     9    --    -4.69
   521 A Amherst-Pelham          9- 8  o    1     8    ---   -7.65
   524 H St Johns Shrewsbury     9- 7       2    -4          n/a  
   526 H Algonquin               9- 5       4     1          n/a  
   604 H East Longmeadow        14- 8       6     8    -     -2.69
   607 A West Springfield        7- 6  o    1    -5    +++    6.70
   611 N South Hadley            9- 5       4    -3    +++    7.08
   615 N St Johns Shrewsbury    12-11 4o    1    -5          n/a  
   619 N Medfield                6-19     -13     0          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Medfield                9-20     -11    -1    ---        
   521 A Amherst-Pelham          9- 8  o    1     8    ---   -7.65
   619 N Medfield                6-19     -13     0    ---        
   414 A Deerfield               4-21     -17    -5    --         
   419 A Westfield              12- 8       4     8    --    -4.79
   512 A Cheshire HS             2-13     -11    -5    --         
   518 H Westfield              11- 6       5     9    --    -4.69
   422 H Minnechaug              8- 5       3     5    -     -2.60
   424 A Pinkerton              11-12  o   -1     1    -          
   604 H East Longmeadow        14- 8       6     8    -     -2.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   524 H St Johns Shrewsbury     9- 7       2    -4    +++        
   607 A West Springfield        7- 6  o    1    -5    +++    6.70
   611 N South Hadley            9- 5       4    -3    +++    7.08
   615 N St Johns Shrewsbury    12-11 4o    1    -5    +++        
   409 A Minnechaug             14- 6       8     4    +      3.29
   526 H Algonquin               9- 5       4     1    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.64 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.30 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   23.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.285.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/