Region = PA    LL02             
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Jeremy Adams          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.3838806    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 6- 8, 81.3)     7- 6   
 331 A Garden Spot            PA    LL02    ( 0-18, 64.6)    16- 0   
 401 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL02    ( 3-14, 77.3)    13- 2   
 406 A Conestoga Valley       PA    LL02    (11- 7, 86.1)     5- 4  o
 408 A Ephrata                PA    LL02    (15- 6, 94.0)     2-10   
 410 H Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 7-11, 80.7)    15- 2   
 412 H Cocalico               PA    LL02    ( 5-12, 78.9)    13- 7   
 414 A Warwick                PA    LL01    (12- 7, 92.3)     3- 9   
 417 A Manheim Township       PA    LL01    (22- 5, 99.8)     0-15   
 419 A Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Indep   ( 7- 7, 75.2)    12- 3   
 420 A Hempfield              PA    LL01    (23- 2, 99.9)     5-18   
 423 H Lancaster Cou Day      PA    LL01    ( 4-14, 76.7)    14- 4   
 427 H Penn Manor             PA    LL01    ( 9- 9, 88.3)     3- 4   
 429 H Garden Spot            PA    LL02    ( 0-18, 64.6)    15- 0   
 504 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL02    ( 3-14, 77.3)     4- 3  o
 506 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL02    (11- 7, 86.1)     8- 5   
 507 H Ephrata                PA    LL02    (15- 6, 94.0)     6- 9   
 510 A Cocalico               PA    LL02    ( 5-12, 78.9)    16-10   
 512 N Manheim Township       PA    LL01    (22- 5, 99.8)     2-17   
 518 A Susquehannock          PA    York 2  (16- 2, 94.5)     6- 5   
 522 N Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (15- 6, 89.6)     6- 5   
 525 A Manheim Township       PA    LL01    (22- 5, 99.8)     1-16   
 527 N Conrad Weiser          PA    Berks   (21- 4, 92.6)     7- 3   
 601 N Franklin Regional      PA    Div1-S1 (10-12, 87.6)     6- 7  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Central Dauphin         7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.68
   331 A Garden Spot            16- 0      16    22           0.00
   401 H Lampeter-Strasburg     13- 2      11    11           0.00
   406 A Conestoga Valley        5- 4  o    1     1          -0.30
   408 A Ephrata                 2-10      -8    -6          -1.35
   410 H Lower Dauphin          15- 2      13     8           1.71
   412 H Cocalico               13- 7       6     9    -     -3.99
   414 A Warwick                 3- 9      -6    -4          -1.06
   417 A Manheim Township        0-15     -15   -12           0.00
   419 A Lancaster Mennonite    12- 3       9    12          -1.00
   420 A Hempfield               5-18     -13   -12           0.00
   423 H Lancaster Cou Day      14- 4      10    12           0.00
   427 H Penn Manor              3- 4      -1     0          -1.63
   429 H Garden Spot            15- 0      15    24           0.00
   504 A Lampeter-Strasburg      4- 3  o    1    10    ---   -9.00
   506 H Conestoga Valley        8- 5       3     2           0.11
   507 H Ephrata                 6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.07
   510 A Cocalico               16-10       6     8    -     -2.41
   512 N Manheim Township        2-17     -15   -11           0.00
   518 A Susquehannock           6- 5       1    -7    +++    8.18
   522 N Carlisle                6- 5       1    -1    +      2.47
   525 A Manheim Township        1-16     -15   -12           0.00
   527 N Conrad Weiser           7- 3       4    -4    +++    8.48
   601 N Franklin Regional       6- 7  o   -1     0          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Central Dauphin         7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.68
   504 A Lampeter-Strasburg      4- 3  o    1    10    ---   -9.00
   412 H Cocalico               13- 7       6     9    -     -3.99
   510 A Cocalico               16-10       6     8    -     -2.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 A Susquehannock           6- 5       1    -7    +++    8.18
   527 N Conrad Weiser           7- 3       4    -4    +++    8.48
   507 H Ephrata                 6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.07
   522 N Carlisle                6- 5       1    -1    +      2.47
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.15 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.02 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/