Region = DC    IAC              
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Rob Bordley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.0075531    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 H Our Lady-Good Counsel  DC    WCAC    (10- 9, 92.7)     8- 4   
 319 A St Mary's Annapolis    MD A  MIAA-B  (12- 8, 95.1)    11-10  o
 323 H Archbishop Spalding    MD A  MIAA-B  ( 9-11, 89.7)    10- 9   
 325 H Woodson                VA    Patriot (14- 6, 95.8)    10- 4   
 326 H Western Reserve Acad   OH 1  Indep   (14- 7, 96.1)     5- 7   
 327 H Conestoga              PA    Centrl  (24- 2, 99.9)     2- 6   
 401 H New Trier              IL A  CenSub  (20- 3, 99.9)    12- 9   
 403 A Gilman                 MD A  MIAA-B  ( 9-10, 90.9)     6- 5   
 405 H Coronado               CA    City    (14- 7, 89.3)    11- 2   
 407 A DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (15- 5, 97.2)     6- 2   
 409 H Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     (14- 7, 94.5)    12- 5   
 414 A St Albans              DC    IAC     ( 8-12, 91.2)    12- 5   
 415 H Madison                VA    Liberty (12- 7, 93.7)    19- 5   
 419 A Robinson               VA    Concord (13- 5, 95.9)    13- 1   
 423 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (18- 4, 99.9)     3- 4   
 426 H Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (20- 2, 99.8)     6- 7   
 428 H Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (10-10, 92.7)    13- 7   
 430 H Bullis                 DC    IAC     (15- 5, 95.5)     4- 3   
 505 A St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     (19- 5, 98.2)     5- 4   
 513 H Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     (14- 7, 94.5)    14- 4   
 515 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (18- 4, 99.9)     9- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Our Lady-Good Counsel   8- 4       4     7          n/a  
   319 A St Mary's Annapolis    11-10  o    1     3    -     -2.41
   323 H Archbishop Spalding    10- 9       1    10    ---   -9.00
   325 H Woodson                10- 4       6     4          n/a  
   326 H Western Reserve Acad    5- 7      -2     4          n/a  
   327 H Conestoga               2- 6      -4     0          n/a  
   401 H New Trier              12- 9       3     0          n/a  
   403 A Gilman                  6- 5       1     7    ---   -6.63
   405 H Coronado               11- 2       9    10          n/a  
   407 A DeMatha                 6- 2       4     1          n/a  
   409 H Episcopal HS           12- 5       7     5           1.16
   414 A St Albans              12- 5       7     7          -0.34
   415 H Madison                19- 5      14     6          n/a  
   419 A Robinson               13- 1      12     2          n/a  
   423 A Georgetown Prep         3- 4      -1    -1           0.36
   426 H Gonzaga                 6- 7      -1     0          n/a  
   428 H Paul VI                13- 7       6     7          n/a  
   430 H Bullis                  4- 3       1     4    -     -3.85
   505 A St Stephen/St Agnes     5- 4       1     0           0.65
   513 H Episcopal HS           14- 4      10     5    ++     4.16
   515 A Georgetown Prep         9- 8       1    -1    +      2.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Archbishop Spalding    10- 9       1    10    ---   -9.00
   326 H Western Reserve Acad    5- 7      -2     4    ---        
   403 A Gilman                  6- 5       1     7    ---   -6.63
   327 H Conestoga               2- 6      -4     0    --         
   316 H Our Lady-Good Counsel   8- 4       4     7    -          
   319 A St Mary's Annapolis    11-10  o    1     3    -     -2.41
   430 H Bullis                  4- 3       1     4    -     -3.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Robinson               13- 1      12     2    +++        
   513 H Episcopal HS           14- 4      10     5    ++     4.16
   401 H New Trier              12- 9       3     0    +          
   407 A DeMatha                 6- 2       4     1    +          
   415 H Madison                19- 5      14     6    +          
   515 A Georgetown Prep         9- 8       1    -1    +      2.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.45 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 89.01 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   13.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.160.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/