Region = NY A  Sec 9            
   Nickname = Y Tigers               Coach  =   Michael Fratto        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.4595032    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (14- 4, 89.5)    10-18   
 407 H Minisink Valley        NY A  Sec 9   (14- 5, 95.7)     3-15   
 409 H Warwick Valley         NY A  Sec 9   (17- 2, 99.9)     3-14   
 412 A Washingtonville        NY A  Sec 9   ( 4-12, 76.9)     7- 3   
 415 H Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   (10- 6, 88.3)    12-14   
 417 N Chenango Forks         NY C  Sec 4   ( 7-11, 80.2)     2-17   
 419 H Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   (13- 4, 91.7)     4-10   
 421 A Newburgh Free Academy  NY A  Sec 9   ( 0-15, 71.9)    10- 3   
 423 A Middletown             NY A  Sec 9   ( 4-12, 76.0)     8- 3   
 503 A Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   (10- 6, 88.3)    11-12   
 505 H Newburgh Free Academy  NY A  Sec 9   ( 0-15, 71.9)    15- 2   
 507 A Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   (13- 4, 91.7)     6- 9   
 512 H Middletown             NY A  Sec 9   ( 4-12, 76.0)    16- 4   
 520 A Albany Academy         NY B  Sec 2   (14- 4, 85.5)     7- 8   
 521 A Roosevelt Hyde Park    NY A  Sec 9   ( 1-15, 75.2)     8- 6   
 524 A Valley Central         NY A  Sec 9   (11- 7, 88.2)     5-10   
 528 A Minisink Valley        NY A  Sec 9   (14- 5, 95.7)     1-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Queensbury             10-18      -8    -7          n/a  
   407 H Minisink Valley         3-15     -12   -13           0.00
   409 H Warwick Valley          3-14     -11   -17           0.00
   412 A Washingtonville         7- 3       4     4          -0.39
   415 H Monroe-Woodbury        12-14      -2    -6    ++     4.04
   417 N Chenango Forks          2-17     -15     1          n/a  
   419 H Pine Bush               4-10      -6    -9    +      3.39
   421 A Newburgh Free Academy  10- 3       7     9    -     -2.35
   423 A Middletown              8- 3       5     5          -0.27
   503 A Monroe-Woodbury        11-12      -1    -7    +++    6.07
   505 H Newburgh Free Academy  15- 2      13    10           0.00
   507 A Pine Bush               6- 9      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   512 H Middletown             16- 4      12     6    +      3.70
   520 A Albany Academy          7- 8      -1    -4          n/a  
   521 A Roosevelt Hyde Park     8- 6       2     6    --    -4.07
   524 A Valley Central          5-10      -5    -6           1.91
   528 A Minisink Valley         1-17     -16   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 N Chenango Forks          2-17     -15     1    ---        
   521 A Roosevelt Hyde Park     8- 6       2     6    --    -4.07
   421 A Newburgh Free Academy  10- 3       7     9    -     -2.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Monroe-Woodbury        11-12      -1    -7    +++    6.07
   507 A Pine Bush               6- 9      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   415 H Monroe-Woodbury        12-14      -2    -6    ++     4.04
   419 H Pine Bush               4-10      -6    -9    +      3.39
   512 H Middletown             16- 4      12     6    +      3.70
   520 A Albany Academy          7- 8      -1    -4    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.78 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.64 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/