Region = NY    AAA-AA           
   Nickname = Y Firebirds            Coach  =   John Fechtmann        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.4112091    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Hicksville             NY A  Sec 8   (13- 4, 92.4)     4- 9   
 326 H Locust Valley          NY C  Sec 8   ( 9- 7, 84.1)     7- 6  o
 401 A St Anthony's           NY    AAA-AA  (18- 2, 99.9)     4-17   
 406 H Iona Prep              NY    AAA-AA  (16- 6, 90.2)    12-13  o
 408 A Chaminade              NY    AAA-AA  (14- 5, 96.7)     0-17   
 413 H Holy Trinity           NY    AAA-AA  (11- 8, 90.4)     3-14   
 419 H Monsignor Farrell      NY    AAA-AA  ( 2-15, 73.0)     9- 3   
 420 H Seaford                NY C  Sec 8   ( 8- 9, 85.1)     8-14   
 422 A St John Baptist        NY    AAA-AA  ( 7-12, 82.0)     6- 8   
 424 A Iona Prep              NY    AAA-AA  (16- 6, 90.2)     5-11   
 427 H St Anthony's           NY    AAA-AA  (18- 2, 99.9)     4-17   
 504 H Fordham Prep           NY    AAA-AA  ( 9-11, 82.9)     4- 8   
 506 A Holy Trinity           NY    AAA-AA  (11- 8, 90.4)     1-10   
 513 A Fordham Prep           NY    AAA-AA  ( 9-11, 82.9)     8-13   
 515 A Monsignor Farrell      NY    AAA-AA  ( 2-15, 73.0)    11- 2   
 518 H St John Baptist        NY    AAA-AA  ( 7-12, 82.0)     4- 8   
 522 A St John Baptist        NY    AAA-AA  ( 7-12, 82.0)     5- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Hicksville              4- 9      -5   -15          n/a  
   326 H Locust Valley           7- 6  o    1    -5          n/a  
   401 A St Anthony's            4-17     -13   -24           0.00
   406 H Iona Prep              12-13  o   -1   -10    +++    9.00
   408 A Chaminade               0-17     -17   -21           0.00
   413 H Holy Trinity            3-14     -11   -10           0.00
   419 H Monsignor Farrell       9- 3       6     7          -1.08
   420 H Seaford                 8-14      -6    -6          n/a  
   422 A St John Baptist         6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.44
   424 A Iona Prep               5-11      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   427 H St Anthony's            4-17     -13   -19           0.00
   504 H Fordham Prep            4- 8      -4    -2          -1.14
   506 A Holy Trinity            1-10      -9   -14           1.00
   513 A Fordham Prep            8-13      -5    -7    +      2.37
   515 A Monsignor Farrell      11- 2       9     2    +++    6.43
   518 H St John Baptist         4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.07
   522 A St John Baptist         5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 H St John Baptist         4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Locust Valley           7- 6  o    1    -5    +++        
   406 H Iona Prep              12-13  o   -1   -10    +++    9.00
   515 A Monsignor Farrell      11- 2       9     2    +++    6.43
   324 A Hicksville              4- 9      -5   -15    ++         
   422 A St John Baptist         6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.44
   424 A Iona Prep               5-11      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   513 A Fordham Prep            8-13      -5    -7    +      2.37
   522 A St John Baptist         5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.83 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.44 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-12 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-12 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/