Region = NC    Conf-04          
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Jamie Sliwa           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.9822006    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 H Panther Creek          NC    Conf-02 ( 6-10, 84.4)     7- 6   
 305 A Carrboro               NC    Conf-05 (10- 6, 86.1)     4- 6   
 309 A Cedar Ridge            NC    Conf-05 ( 7- 8, 84.2)     7- 2   
 316 A Northern Durham        NC    Conf-04 ( 5- 6, 81.1)    14- 7   
 318 H Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-04 ( 9- 7, 86.8)     9- 4   
 320 N Severn                 MD A  MIAA-R  ( 5-15, 86.5)     1-14   
 325 H Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (10- 6, 93.7)     8-12   
 326 A Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-04 ( 2-11, 67.9)    17- 1   
 330 H J.F. Webb              NC    Conf-04 ( 0-12, 64.5)    19- 0   
 401 A J.F. Webb              NC    Conf-04 ( 0-12, 64.5)    19- 0   
 413 H Northern Durham        NC    Conf-04 ( 5- 6, 81.1)    12- 3   
 416 A Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-04 ( 9- 7, 86.8)    15- 6   
 419 H W.G. Enloe             NC    Conf-03 ( 7- 8, 85.6)    12- 7   
 421 A Cary Academy           NC    Prvate  ( 9- 8, 83.8)    15-10   
 422 H Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-04 ( 2-11, 67.9)    17- 0   
 429 H Cedar Ridge            NC    Conf-05 ( 7- 8, 84.2)    14- 6   
 504 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (20- 1, 99.9)     9-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Panther Creek           7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.69
   305 A Carrboro                4- 6      -2     4    ---   -6.65
   309 A Cedar Ridge             7- 2       5     6          -1.55
   316 A Northern Durham        14- 7       7     9    -     -2.59
   318 H Durham Riverside        9- 4       5     5          -0.35
   320 N Severn                  1-14     -13     4          n/a  
   325 H Chapel Hill             8-12      -4    -1    -     -2.36
   326 A Roxboro Community Sch  17- 1      16    22           0.00
   330 H J.F. Webb              19- 0      19    27           0.00
   401 A J.F. Webb              19- 0      19    26           0.00
   413 H Northern Durham        12- 3       9    10          -1.00
   416 A Durham Riverside       15- 6       9     3    ++     5.04
   419 H W.G. Enloe             12- 7       5     6          -1.54
   421 A Cary Academy           15-10       5     7          n/a  
   422 H Roxboro Community Sch  17- 0      17    24           0.00
   429 H Cedar Ridge            14- 6       8     7           0.06
   504 A East Chapel Hill        9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Panther Creek           7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.69
   305 A Carrboro                4- 6      -2     4    ---   -6.65
   320 N Severn                  1-14     -13     4    ---        
   316 A Northern Durham        14- 7       7     9    -     -2.59
   325 H Chapel Hill             8-12      -4    -1    -     -2.36
   421 A Cary Academy           15-10       5     7    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Durham Riverside       15- 6       9     3    ++     5.04
   504 A East Chapel Hill        9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.18
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.41 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.89 Local SOS Rank.............    51
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.0
/