Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Chiefs               Coach  =   Tom Kincella          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.7968674    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-12, 74.3)     8- 5   
 329 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 3, 97.8)     4-13   
 401 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 68.4)    11- 2   
 406 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 84.7)    11- 6   
 408 H Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 91.8)     9-13   
 409 H Jamestown              NY I  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 68.8)    14- 0   
 413 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 84.2)     3- 9   
 415 A Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   (14- 5, 86.6)    13- 5   
 427 A Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 77.8)     7- 0   
 429 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 85.7)     8- 4   
 504 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-14, 75.3)     5- 1   
 506 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 90.7)    13-14  o
 513 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 81.7)     9- 1   
 514 H Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   (10- 6, 85.5)    13- 6   
 518 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-12, 76.0)    11- 6   
 520 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-12, 78.6)     8- 1   
 528 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 84.7)    10- 3   
 602 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 3, 97.8)     3-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Oswego                  8- 5       3    14          n/a  
   329 A Hamburg                 4-13      -9    -8          -0.17
   401 A East Aurora            11- 2       9    20          -1.00
   406 A Williamsville North    11- 6       5     4           0.79
   408 H Amherst                 9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.11
   409 H Jamestown              14- 0      14    21           0.00
   413 A Sweet Home              3- 9      -6     4    ---  -10.70
   415 A Eden                   13- 5       8     2    ++     5.67
   427 A Lake Shore Central      7- 0       7    11    -     -3.00
   429 H West Seneca East        8- 4       4     4          -0.21
   504 A West Seneca West        5- 1       4    13    ---   -6.00
   506 H Niagara Wheatfield     13-14  o   -1     0          -0.22
   513 A Grand Island            9- 1       8     7           0.78
   514 H Nichols                13- 6       7     4    +      2.59
   518 H Williamsville South    11- 6       5    13    --    -5.00
   520 A Williamsville East      8- 1       7    10    -     -3.00
   528 H Williamsville North    10- 3       7     5           1.78
   602 A Hamburg                 3-10      -7    -8           1.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Oswego                  8- 5       3    14    ---        
   413 A Sweet Home              3- 9      -6     4    ---  -10.70
   504 A West Seneca West        5- 1       4    13    ---   -6.00
   518 H Williamsville South    11- 6       5    13    --    -5.00
   408 H Amherst                 9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.11
   427 A Lake Shore Central      7- 0       7    11    -     -3.00
   520 A Williamsville East      8- 1       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Eden                   13- 5       8     2    ++     5.67
   514 H Nichols                13- 6       7     4    +      2.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.45 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.60 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/