Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Mustangs             Coach  =   Ted Lutz              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.1301193    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 H Weston                 CT S          (20- 3, 93.0)     3-16   
 412 A Morgan-Clinton         CT S          ( 7-10, 75.8)     5-11   
 414 H Masuk-Monroe           CT M          ( 6-10, 76.1)     9-14   
 416 A Pomperaug              CT M          ( 8-10, 78.0)     3-11   
 420 A Watertown              CT M          ( 1- 4, 62.7)    12- 2   
 421 H Bunnell-Stratford      CT M          ( 5-11, 71.1)     4- 3  o
 423 A New Milford            CT L          (10- 8, 83.9)     4- 7   
 426 A Greens Farms Academy   NE 2  FAA     ( 6-10, 84.7)     8-11   
 428 A Brookfield             CT M          (11- 7, 84.9)     7-17   
 430 H Watertown              CT M          ( 1- 4, 62.7)     9- 2   
 505 H Bethel                 CT M          ( 6-11, 76.9)     5- 4   
 507 A New Fairfield          CT M          (19- 3, 93.8)     2-16   
 512 H Stratford              CT S          ( 4-12, 67.1)     7- 2   
 514 A Barlow-Redding         CT S          (10- 9, 85.2)     4-17   
 517 A Newtown                CT L          (13- 7, 88.0)     3-13   
 519 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 0-16, 61.4)    17- 3   
 602 A Waterford              CT S          ( 8-10, 74.7)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Weston                  3-16     -13   -18           0.00
   412 A Morgan-Clinton          5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.80
   414 H Masuk-Monroe            9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.35
   416 A Pomperaug               3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.60
   420 A Watertown              12- 2      10     9           0.06
   421 H Bunnell-Stratford       4- 3  o    1     3    -     -2.36
   423 A New Milford             4- 7      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   426 A Greens Farms Academy    8-11      -3   -11          n/a  
   428 A Brookfield              7-17     -10   -12           0.00
   430 H Watertown               9- 2       7    11    -     -3.00
   505 H Bethel                  5- 4       1    -2    +      3.41
   507 A New Fairfield           2-16     -14   -21           0.00
   512 H Stratford               7- 2       5     7    -     -2.37
   514 A Barlow-Redding          4-17     -13   -12           0.00
   517 A Newtown                 3-13     -10   -15           0.00
   519 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   17- 3      14    13           0.00
   602 A Waterford               4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.87

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Morgan-Clinton          5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.80
   414 H Masuk-Monroe            9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.35
   416 A Pomperaug               3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.60
   421 H Bunnell-Stratford       4- 3  o    1     3    -     -2.36
   430 H Watertown               9- 2       7    11    -     -3.00
   512 H Stratford               7- 2       5     7    -     -2.37
   602 A Waterford               4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.87

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A New Milford             4- 7      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   426 A Greens Farms Academy    8-11      -3   -11    +++        
   505 H Bethel                  5- 4       1    -2    +      3.41
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.54 Local Power Rank...........    61
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.76 Local SOS Rank.............    56
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    58
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    35
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    56
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/