Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Mike Conway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.9138412    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 78.2)    10- 5   
 403 H Plainedge              NY B  Sec 8   (10- 7, 85.4)    12- 7   
 407 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 64.9)    13- 6   
 409 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 80.6)     5- 6   
 413 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.2)     3- 9   
 415 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 81.0)     7- 8   
 419 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 87.2)     4-15   
 421 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 69.6)    13- 0   
 423 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 71.0)    14- 5   
 427 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 73.8)     8- 7 3o
 429 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.8)     9-19   
 501 H Half Hollow Hills West NY B  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 80.8)     4- 2   
 505 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 71.9)     9- 2   
 508 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 7, 79.2)    10- 4   
 511 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 78.7)     5- 6   
 517 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 79.2)    10-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Lindenhurst            10- 5       5     3           1.81
   403 H Plainedge              12- 7       5    -3          n/a  
   407 A Brentwood              13- 6       7    16    -     -3.00
   409 H Sachem East             5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.88
   413 A Smithtown West          3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.84
   415 H Northport               7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.47
   419 A Smithtown East          4-15     -11    -5    --    -4.13
   421 A North Babylon          13- 0      13    11           0.00
   423 H Copiague               14- 5       9    11          -1.00
   427 H Longwood                8- 7 3o    1     8    ---   -7.70
   429 H East Islip              9-19     -10    -9          -0.62
   501 H Half Hollow Hills West  4- 2       2     1           0.31
   505 H Riverhead               9- 2       7    10    -     -3.00
   508 A Commack                10- 4       6     2    +      3.86
   511 A West Babylon            5- 6      -1     2    -     -3.65
   517 H Middle Country         10-12      -2     3    --    -5.23

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Longwood                8- 7 3o    1     8    ---   -7.70
   419 A Smithtown East          4-15     -11    -5    --    -4.13
   517 H Middle Country         10-12      -2     3    --    -5.23
   407 A Brentwood              13- 6       7    16    -     -3.00
   409 H Sachem East             5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.88
   415 H Northport               7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.47
   505 H Riverhead               9- 2       7    10    -     -3.00
   511 A West Babylon            5- 6      -1     2    -     -3.65

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Plainedge              12- 7       5    -3    +++        
   413 A Smithtown West          3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.84
   508 A Commack                10- 4       6     2    +      3.86
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.91 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.43 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/