Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Dutchmen             Coach  =   Sean McConaghy        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.1114426    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 N Mercer Island          WA 1  NoEast  (21- 1, 99.9)     5-12   
 406 H Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 5-12, 82.3)    10- 5   
 408 A Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-11, 84.0)     7- 4   
 414 H Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-17, 73.1)    15- 0   
 416 A Saratoga Spgs          NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-11, 86.4)     6- 5  o
 420 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 89.5)     6- 4   
 422 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (18- 2, 99.9)     5-11   
 424 N Horace Greeley         NY B  Sec 1   ( 6-12, 88.6)    11-12   
 501 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (12- 7, 91.5)     5- 4   
 503 H Niskayuna              NY B  Sec 2   (17- 5, 99.2)     3-15   
 505 A Burnt Hills            NY B  Sec 2   (10- 9, 86.3)    11- 4   
 508 A Mahopac                NY A  Sec 1   (11- 7, 94.2)     8- 6   
 510 H Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-11, 84.0)     8- 4   
 512 A Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-17, 73.1)    13- 7   
 514 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 89.5)     5- 9   
 518 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (12- 7, 91.5)     6-11   
 526 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 89.5)     6- 4   
 529 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (18- 2, 99.9)     5-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 N Mercer Island           5-12      -7    -9          n/a  
   406 H Ballston Spa           10- 5       5     8    -     -3.54
   408 A Colonie                 7- 4       3     6    -     -3.48
   414 H Columbia               15- 0      15    17           0.00
   416 A Saratoga Spgs           6- 5  o    1     4    -     -3.12
   420 H Shaker                  6- 4       2     1           0.62
   422 H Shenendehowa            5-11      -6    -9    +      3.04
   424 N Horace Greeley         11-12      -1     2          n/a  
   501 A Bethlehem               5- 4       1    -1    +      2.01
   503 H Niskayuna               3-15     -12    -8          -1.68
   505 A Burnt Hills            11- 4       7     4    +      2.81
   508 A Mahopac                 8- 6       2    -3          n/a  
   510 H Colonie                 8- 4       4     6    -     -2.84
   512 A Columbia               13- 7       6    17    --    -4.00
   514 A Shaker                  5- 9      -4     1    --    -5.02
   518 H Bethlehem               6-11      -5     0    --    -4.34
   526 H Shaker                  6- 4       2     1           0.62
   529 A Shenendehowa            5-12      -7    -9    +      2.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Columbia               13- 7       6    17    --    -4.00
   514 A Shaker                  5- 9      -4     1    --    -5.02
   518 H Bethlehem               6-11      -5     0    --    -4.34
   406 H Ballston Spa           10- 5       5     8    -     -3.54
   408 A Colonie                 7- 4       3     6    -     -3.48
   416 A Saratoga Spgs           6- 5  o    1     4    -     -3.12
   424 N Horace Greeley         11-12      -1     2    -          
   510 H Colonie                 8- 4       4     6    -     -2.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Mahopac                 8- 6       2    -3    ++         
   403 N Mercer Island           5-12      -7    -9    +          
   422 H Shenendehowa            5-11      -6    -9    +      3.04
   501 A Bethlehem               5- 4       1    -1    +      2.01
   505 A Burnt Hills            11- 4       7     4    +      2.81
   529 A Shenendehowa            5-12      -7    -9    +      2.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.68 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.85 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.165.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/