Region = DC    WCAC             
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Matt Durkin           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.1033325    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Landon                 DC    IAC     (17- 4, 99.4)     4- 8   
 318 H Loyola Academy         IL A  Cathlc  (19- 7, 94.3)    12- 3   
 322 H Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 3-14, 81.9)    18- 4   
 324 A Sherwood               MD 43 West    ( 8- 6, 84.1)    11- 7   
 329 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 4-15, 81.2)    18- 4   
 331 A DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (15- 5, 97.2)     7- 8 2o
 403 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (18- 4, 99.9)     3-13   
 406 A Poway                  CA    North   (15- 3, 91.2)     4- 5   
 407 A La Costa Canyon        CA    North   (23- 0, 99.9)     2- 9   
 409 A Torrey Pines           CA    North   (17- 3, 93.7)     7-15   
 413 H St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    (14- 5, 98.1)    14- 8   
 416 H Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (20- 2, 99.8)     3- 8   
 420 A Bullis                 DC    IAC     (15- 5, 95.5)     6-13   
 424 A St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (12- 8, 91.7)     7- 6   
 427 A Archbishop Carroll     DC    WCAC    ( 0- 9, 69.8)    19- 0   
 429 A Bishop McNamara        DC    WCAC    ( 1-10, 69.4)    10- 1   
 430 A Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (10-10, 92.7)     9- 8  o
 503 H St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (12- 8, 91.7)    11- 1   
 505 A DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (15- 5, 97.2)     6-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Landon                  4- 8      -4    -7          n/a  
   318 H Loyola Academy         12- 3       9     0          n/a  
   322 H Bishop Ireton          18- 4      14    11           0.00
   324 A Sherwood               11- 7       4     8          n/a  
   329 H Bishop O'Connell       18- 4      14    11           0.00
   331 A DeMatha                 7- 8 2o   -1    -4    +      3.79
   403 A Georgetown Prep         3-13     -10    -7          n/a  
   406 A Poway                   4- 5      -1     1          n/a  
   407 A La Costa Canyon         2- 9      -7    -7          n/a  
   409 A Torrey Pines            7-15      -8    -1          n/a  
   413 H St Marys Ryken         14- 8       6    -5    +++   11.18
   416 H Gonzaga                 3- 8      -5    -6           1.93
   420 A Bullis                  6-13      -7    -3          n/a  
   424 A St Johns DC             7- 6       1     0           0.25
   427 A Archbishop Carroll     19- 0      19    22           0.00
   429 A Bishop McNamara        10- 1       9    23          -1.00
   430 A Paul VI                 9- 8  o    1     0           1.27
   503 H St Johns DC            11- 1      10     1    +++    8.76
   505 A DeMatha                 6-12      -6    -4          -1.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Torrey Pines            7-15      -8    -1    ---        
   324 A Sherwood               11- 7       4     8    --         
   403 A Georgetown Prep         3-13     -10    -7    -          
   406 A Poway                   4- 5      -1     1    -          
   420 A Bullis                  6-13      -7    -3    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Loyola Academy         12- 3       9     0    +++        
   413 H St Marys Ryken         14- 8       6    -5    +++   11.18
   503 H St Johns DC            11- 1      10     1    +++    8.76
   316 A Landon                  4- 8      -4    -7    +          
   331 A DeMatha                 7- 8 2o   -1    -4    +      3.79
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.65 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.45 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/