Conf =  Waterm                    Region = NJ    Grp-I            
   Nickname = J Ridgers              Coach  =   Carl Houser           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.4019394    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Morristown             NJ    Grp-III (15- 3, 90.7)     4- 3   
 407 A Ridgewood              NJ    Grp-III ( 7-10, 87.8)     6- 8   
 409 A Cranford               NJ    Grp-II  ( 9- 9, 81.4)    11- 2   
 410 H Division-Levittown     NY B  Sec 8   (16- 2, 94.6)     2- 3   
 412 H Don Bosco Prep         NJ    Grp-A   (12- 9, 88.6)     7- 3   
 417 H Kinnelon               NJ    Grp-I   (15- 4, 94.5)     7-12   
 419 H West Essex Regional    NJ    Grp-I   (14- 5, 92.3)     8-11   
 421 A Bernards               NJ    Grp-I   ( 9-12, 79.8)    10- 3   
 423 A Montclair Kim Acad     NJ    Grp-B   (12- 6, 83.7)     9- 2   
 427 A A.L.Johnson-Clark      NJ    Grp-I   ( 6-13, 78.7)    13- 4   
 430 A Nutley                 NJ    Grp-II  ( 6-10, 77.0)    15- 5   
 502 H Caldwell               NJ    Grp-I   (13- 8, 84.7)    13- 3   
 504 H Millburn               NJ    Grp-III ( 6-11, 77.8)    15- 5   
 507 H Morristown Beard       NJ    Grp-B   (10- 8, 85.0)    14- 6   
 509 A Montclair              NJ    Grp-IV  (17- 4, 94.3)     8- 7   
 511 A Caldwell               NJ    Grp-I   (13- 8, 84.7)     9- 5   
 514 H Lenape Valley          NJ    Grp-I   (10- 9, 75.3)    16- 0   
 516 N Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (11- 8, 89.2)     7-12   
 519 H Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (14- 6, 87.4)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Morristown              4- 3       1    -1    +      2.33
   407 A Ridgewood               6- 8      -2     1    -     -3.59
   409 A Cranford               11- 2       9     7           1.00
   410 H Division-Levittown      2- 3      -1    -3          n/a  
   412 H Don Bosco Prep          7- 3       4     3           0.56
   417 H Kinnelon                7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.57
   419 H West Essex Regional     8-11      -3     0    -     -2.79
   421 A Bernards               10- 3       7     9    -     -2.59
   423 A Montclair Kim Acad      9- 2       7     5           1.35
   427 A A.L.Johnson-Clark      13- 4       9    10          -1.00
   430 A Nutley                 15- 5      10    12           0.00
   502 H Caldwell               13- 3      10     7    +      2.61
   504 H Millburn               15- 5      10    14           0.00
   507 H Morristown Beard       14- 6       8     7           0.93
   509 A Montclair               8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.90
   511 A Caldwell                9- 5       4     4          -0.67
   514 H Lenape Valley          16- 0      16    16           0.00
   516 N Seton Hall Prep         7-12      -5     1    ---   -6.57
   519 H Rumson-Fair Haven       8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 N Seton Hall Prep         7-12      -5     1    ---   -6.57
   519 H Rumson-Fair Haven       8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.66
   407 A Ridgewood               6- 8      -2     1    -     -3.59
   417 H Kinnelon                7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.57
   419 H West Essex Regional     8-11      -3     0    -     -2.79
   421 A Bernards               10- 3       7     9    -     -2.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Montclair               8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.90
   401 A Morristown              4- 3       1    -1    +      2.33
   410 H Division-Levittown      2- 3      -1    -3    +          
   502 H Caldwell               13- 3      10     7    +      2.61
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.73 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.53 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/