Conf =  NWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Dave Emery            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.9129181    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Somers                 CT S          ( 9- 9, 80.6)     8- 5   
 409 A Suffield HS            CT S          (10- 9, 79.6)     9-10  o
 413 A Avon HS                CT M          (10- 8, 83.3)     3- 8   
 415 H Ellington              CT S          (15- 4, 83.9)    10- 5   
 421 A Newington              CT L          ( 9- 9, 78.5)     4- 6   
 427 H Housatonic Valley      CT S          ( 6-10, 71.6)     8- 6   
 429 H Rockville              CT M          ( 3-13, 68.9)     8- 9   
 501 A Somers                 CT S          ( 9- 9, 80.6)     4-13   
 504 H Old Saybrook           CT S          (13- 4, 80.4)     6- 7   
 505 H Avon HS                CT M          (10- 8, 83.3)     2-10   
 507 H Farmington             CT M          ( 6-10, 74.8)     8- 9   
 514 H Suffield HS            CT S          (10- 9, 79.6)    10- 8   
 515 H Ledyard                CT S          (20- 1, 90.9)     7-19   
 518 H Tolland                CT S          ( 8- 9, 76.3)     7- 9   
 520 A Ellington              CT S          (15- 4, 83.9)     2-13   
 524 A Hall-West Hartford     CT L          (10- 8, 84.1)     5-18   
 528 A Ellington              CT S          (15- 4, 83.9)    10- 4   
 601 H Suffield HS            CT S          (10- 9, 79.6)    11-10 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Somers                  8- 5       3    -4    +++    7.69
   409 A Suffield HS             9-10  o   -1    -5    ++     4.61
   413 A Avon HS                 3- 8      -5    -9    ++     4.25
   415 H Ellington              10- 5       5    -8    +++   13.05
   421 A Newington               4- 6      -2    -4    +      2.53
   427 H Housatonic Valley       8- 6       2     4    -     -2.22
   429 H Rockville               8- 9      -1     6    ---   -7.96
   501 A Somers                  4-13      -9    -6    -     -2.46
   504 H Old Saybrook            6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.56
   505 H Avon HS                 2-10      -8    -7          -0.60
   507 H Farmington              8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.02
   514 H Suffield HS            10- 8       2    -3    ++     5.76
   515 H Ledyard                 7-19     -12   -15           0.00
   518 H Tolland                 7- 9      -2     0          -1.53
   520 A Ellington               2-13     -11    -9          -0.10
   524 A Hall-West Hartford      5-18     -13   -10           0.00
   528 A Ellington              10- 4       6    -9    +++   15.90
   601 H Suffield HS            11-10 2o    1    -3    ++     4.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Rockville               8- 9      -1     6    ---   -7.96
   427 H Housatonic Valley       8- 6       2     4    -     -2.22
   501 A Somers                  4-13      -9    -6    -     -2.46
   507 H Farmington              8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Somers                  8- 5       3    -4    +++    7.69
   415 H Ellington              10- 5       5    -8    +++   13.05
   528 A Ellington              10- 4       6    -9    +++   15.90
   409 A Suffield HS             9-10  o   -1    -5    ++     4.61
   413 A Avon HS                 3- 8      -5    -9    ++     4.25
   514 H Suffield HS            10- 8       2    -3    ++     5.76
   601 H Suffield HS            11-10 2o    1    -3    ++     4.76
   421 A Newington               4- 6      -2    -4    +      2.53
   504 H Old Saybrook            6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.94 Local Power Rank...........    57
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.04 Local SOS Rank.............    42
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    42
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    71
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/