Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Chris Stack           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.3098450    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (16- 2, 99.9)     6-15   
 412 A North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-17, 66.4)    14- 1   
 414 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 77.0)    11- 2   
 416 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 3, 97.8)     2-19   
 421 A Pine Richland          PA    Div1-S2 ( 5- 9, 85.6)     7-11   
 422 A Mount Lebanon          PA    Div1-S1 (14- 6, 95.3)     2-16   
 424 N Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 77.0)     6-13   
 428 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (12- 6, 89.6)     5- 7   
 503 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 4, 93.2)     6-14   
 505 A Penn Yan               NY C  Sec 5   (11- 9, 88.1)     6-13   
 506 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (16- 2, 99.9)     2-15   
 508 H Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 91.8)     3-13   
 510 H North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-17, 66.4)    16- 5   
 512 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 77.0)     8- 6   
 517 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (12- 6, 89.6)     2-13   
 519 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 4, 93.2)     5-13   
 528 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 77.0)    10- 3   
 603 N Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (16- 2, 99.9)     2-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Orchard Park            6-15      -9   -20           1.00
   412 A North Tonawanda        14- 1      13    12           0.00
   414 H Lockport               11- 2       9     3    ++     5.71
   416 A Hamburg                 2-19     -17   -18           0.00
   421 A Pine Richland           7-11      -4    -6          n/a  
   422 A Mount Lebanon           2-16     -14   -16          n/a  
   424 N Hilton                  6-13      -7     2          n/a  
   428 A Lancaster               5- 7      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   503 H Clarence                6-14      -8   -12    +      2.00
   505 A Penn Yan                6-13      -7    -8          n/a  
   506 H Orchard Park            2-15     -13   -19           0.00
   508 H Amherst                 3-13     -10   -11           0.00
   510 H North Tonawanda        16- 5      11    13           0.00
   512 A Lockport                8- 6       2     2          -0.28
   517 H Lancaster               2-13     -11    -9          -0.67
   519 A Clarence                5-13      -8   -13    +      2.00
   528 H Lockport               10- 3       7     3    +      3.71
   603 N Orchard Park            2-17     -15   -20           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 N Hilton                  6-13      -7     2    ---        

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Lancaster               5- 7      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   414 H Lockport               11- 2       9     3    ++     5.71
   421 A Pine Richland           7-11      -4    -6    +          
   503 H Clarence                6-14      -8   -12    +      2.00
   519 A Clarence                5-13      -8   -13    +      2.00
   528 H Lockport               10- 3       7     3    +      3.71
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.80 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.44 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/