Conf = Bay State Region = MA 1 Nickname = A Flyers Coach = Ed MoyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.5678253 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 406 H Newton North MA 1 ( 9-11, 84.2) 6- 7 o 408 A Wellesley MA 2 (16- 7, 91.5) 1- 7 410 H Medford MA 1 (10- 7, 77.3) 10- 1 413 H Weymouth MA 1 (10-11, 84.3) 11-10 415 H Natick MA 1 ( 8-12, 81.3) 11- 8 422 A Newton South MA 1 ( 1-15, 72.5) 14- 5 424 H Westford Academy MA 1 (12- 6, 89.7) 4-13 427 H Needham MA 1 (19- 3, 94.8) 3-16 429 A Dedham MA 3 ( 1-19, 63.7) 19- 0 503 H Braintree MA 1 ( 3-17, 73.8) 7- 8 505 A Brookline MA 1 (12-10, 84.7) 8- 9 507 A Newton North MA 1 ( 9-11, 84.2) 3-11 510 A Milton MA 2 ( 2-16, 71.3) 10- 6 512 A Weymouth MA 1 (10-11, 84.3) 7-11 513 H Norwood MA 2 (14- 7, 87.1) 7- 8 517 A Needham MA 1 (19- 3, 94.8) 5-16 519 H Walpole MA 2 (18- 4, 94.4) 4-15 521 A Braintree MA 1 ( 3-17, 73.8) 12- 7 524 H Brookline MA 1 (12-10, 84.7) 6-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 H Newton North 6- 7 o -1 -2 1.89 408 A Wellesley 1- 7 -6 -12 ++ 4.00 410 H Medford 10- 1 9 4 ++ 4.99 413 H Weymouth 11-10 1 -3 ++ 4.02 415 H Natick 11- 8 3 0 + 3.02 422 A Newton South 14- 5 9 6 + 2.04 424 H Westford Academy 4-13 -9 -8 -0.52 427 H Needham 3-16 -13 -13 0.00 429 A Dedham 19- 0 19 15 0.00 503 H Braintree 7- 8 -1 7 --- -8.43 505 A Brookline 8- 9 -1 -5 ++ 4.26 507 A Newton North 3-11 -8 -4 - -3.30 510 A Milton 10- 6 4 8 -- -4.14 512 A Weymouth 7-11 -4 -4 0.83 513 H Norwood 7- 8 -1 -5 ++ 4.83 517 A Needham 5-16 -11 -15 0.00 519 H Walpole 4-15 -11 -13 0.00 521 A Braintree 12- 7 5 5 -0.63 524 H Brookline 6-12 -6 -3 - -2.55UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 H Braintree 7- 8 -1 7 --- -8.43 510 A Milton 10- 6 4 8 -- -4.14 507 A Newton North 3-11 -8 -4 - -3.30 524 H Brookline 6-12 -6 -3 - -2.55OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Wellesley 1- 7 -6 -12 ++ 4.00 410 H Medford 10- 1 9 4 ++ 4.99 413 H Weymouth 11-10 1 -3 ++ 4.02 505 A Brookline 8- 9 -1 -5 ++ 4.26 513 H Norwood 7- 8 -1 -5 ++ 4.83 415 H Natick 11- 8 3 0 + 3.02 422 A Newton South 14- 5 9 6 + 2.04/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.36 Local Power Rank........... 70 Local SOS Rating......... 63.52 Local SOS Rank............. 53 Local RPI Rating......... 0.44 Local RPI Rank............. 94 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 58 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 95 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -11.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -10.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0