Region = VA    Jeffsn           
   Nickname = A Hilltoppers          Coach  =   Bob McGrath           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.5766449    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 H Williamsburg LC        VA    Indep   (17- 1, 99.9)    14-15  o
 318 H Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 6- 7, 87.5)    15- 3   
 320 H South County LC        VA    Indep   ( 3-11, 76.4)    17- 2   
 324 H Rockbridge County      VA    Valley  ( 5- 7, 88.4)     8- 7  o
 327 A Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 5- 8, 86.4)    13- 3   
 331 A James River            VA    Jeffsn  ( 6- 9, 87.7)     6- 7   
 415 H Patrick Henry          VA    WesVal  ( 9- 8, 91.2)    13- 4   
 417 H Salem                  VA    RivRdg  (14- 6, 98.5)     9- 7   
 420 A Rockbridge County      VA    Valley  ( 5- 7, 88.4)    11- 7   
 424 N Virginia Episcopal     VA 2  VIC     ( 5- 9, 90.3)     5- 3   
 427 H Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 5- 8, 86.4)    12- 9   
 429 A Patrick Henry          VA    WesVal  ( 9- 8, 91.2)    10-11   
 507 A Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 6- 7, 87.5)    10-15   
 511 H Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  (15- 3, 99.9)     7- 6   
 513 A Salem                  VA    RivRdg  (14- 6, 98.5)    12- 9   
 518 N Salem                  VA    RivRdg  (14- 6, 98.5)    13-10   
 521 N Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  (15- 3, 99.9)     6-13   
 524 A Broad Run              VA    Dulles  (10- 7, 94.2)    10- 8   
 526 H Salem                  VA    RivRdg  (14- 6, 98.5)     4-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Williamsburg LC        14-15  o   -1    -3          n/a  
   318 H Charlottesville        15- 3      12     9           0.72
   320 H South County LC        17- 2      15    20          n/a  
   324 H Rockbridge County       8- 7  o    1     8    ---   -7.36
   327 A Monticello             13- 3      10     8           1.77
   331 A James River             6- 7      -1     6    ---   -7.84
   415 H Patrick Henry          13- 4       9     5          n/a  
   417 H Salem                   9- 7       2    -1    +      3.77
   420 A Rockbridge County      11- 7       4     6    -     -2.22
   424 N Virginia Episcopal      5- 3       2     5          n/a  
   427 H Monticello             12- 9       3    10    ---   -7.00
   429 A Patrick Henry          10-11      -1     3          n/a  
   507 A Charlottesville        10-15      -5     7    ---  -12.13
   511 H Western Albemarle       7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.17
   513 A Salem                  12- 9       3    -3    +++    6.92
   518 N Salem                  13-10       3    -2    ++     5.85
   521 N Western Albemarle       6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.76
   524 A Broad Run              10- 8       2     0           1.60
   526 H Salem                   4-14     -10    -1    ---   -8.23

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Rockbridge County       8- 7  o    1     8    ---   -7.36
   331 A James River             6- 7      -1     6    ---   -7.84
   427 H Monticello             12- 9       3    10    ---   -7.00
   507 A Charlottesville        10-15      -5     7    ---  -12.13
   526 H Salem                   4-14     -10    -1    ---   -8.23
   429 A Patrick Henry          10-11      -1     3    --         
   420 A Rockbridge County      11- 7       4     6    -     -2.22
   424 N Virginia Episcopal      5- 3       2     5    -          
   521 N Western Albemarle       6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.76

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 A Salem                  12- 9       3    -3    +++    6.92
   511 H Western Albemarle       7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.17
   518 N Salem                  13-10       3    -2    ++     5.85
   312 H Williamsburg LC        14-15  o   -1    -3    +          
   415 H Patrick Henry          13- 4       9     5    +          
   417 H Salem                   9- 7       2    -1    +      3.77
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.66 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.02 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.175.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/