Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Redmen               Coach  =   Joe Ancona            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.5085602    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H John Glenn - Elwood    NY C  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.1)    13-10   
 403 A Mahopac                NY A  Sec 1   (11- 7, 94.2)    14-13   
 407 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 81.0)    11- 7   
 409 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.2)    17-15   
 413 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 85.5)    16-10   
 415 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.9)     9-16   
 419 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 69.6)    18- 3   
 421 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 87.2)     9- 8   
 423 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 78.2)    16- 5   
 427 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.2)     6- 7  o
 429 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 81.9)    19- 9   
 505 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.4)    19- 6   
 507 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 80.6)    15- 7   
 511 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 94.7)     7-10   
 513 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 78.7)    18- 2   
 517 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 92.3)    12-13   
 520 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 80.4)    19- 9   
 525 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 92.3)    12-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H John Glenn - Elwood    13-10       3     5    -     -2.29
   403 A Mahopac                14-13       1    -2          n/a  
   407 A Northport              11- 7       4    10    ---   -6.00
   409 H Smithtown West         17-15       2     1           0.82
   413 A William Floyd          16-10       6     5           0.17
   415 H West Islip              9-16      -7    -7           0.52
   419 H North Babylon          18- 3      15    22           0.00
   421 A Smithtown East          9- 8       1     4    -     -3.05
   423 H Lindenhurst            16- 5      11    14           0.00
   427 H Sachem North            6- 7  o   -1     4    --    -5.22
   429 A Half Hollow Hills East 19- 9      10     9           0.62
   505 H Walt Whitman           19- 6      13     6    +      3.99
   507 A Sachem East            15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00
   511 A Ward Melville           7-10      -3    -3           0.45
   513 H West Babylon           18- 2      16    13           0.00
   517 A Connetquot             12-13      -1    -1           0.05
   520 H Bay Shore              19- 9      10    11           0.00
   525 A Connetquot             12-14      -2    -1          -0.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Northport              11- 7       4    10    ---   -6.00
   427 H Sachem North            6- 7  o   -1     4    --    -5.22
   327 H John Glenn - Elwood    13-10       3     5    -     -2.29
   421 A Smithtown East          9- 8       1     4    -     -3.05
   507 A Sachem East            15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Mahopac                14-13       1    -2    +          
   505 H Walt Whitman           19- 6      13     6    +      3.99
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.83 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.64 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/