Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Middies              Coach  =   Dan O'Brien           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.1900940    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Tyngsborough           MA 3          (13- 9, 84.4)     6-10   
 406 H Salem                  MA 1          ( 6-14, 71.3)    10- 5   
 409 H Haverhill              MA 1          ( 4-14, 76.2)    17-13   
 412 A Billerica Memorial     MA 1          (20- 3, 99.0)     1-18   
 415 A Central Catholic       MA 1          (13- 8, 84.4)     6- 8   
 421 A Bedford                MA 3          ( 6-15, 75.9)    12- 5   
 422 H Wilmington             MA 2          ( 2-16, 72.0)    11- 3   
 426 H Lowell                 MA 1          ( 3-15, 75.4)    13- 3   
 428 H Triton Regional        MA 2          ( 1-13, 71.6)    12- 9   
 430 H Chelmsford             MA 1          (15- 7, 89.6)     2-10   
 504 A Haverhill              MA 1          ( 4-14, 76.2)     8- 2   
 505 H Pentucket              MA 2          ( 9- 9, 80.3)    10-11   
 506 A Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          ( 2-13, 70.5)    11- 2   
 510 A Malden Catholic        MA 1          (13- 7, 92.4)     4-16   
 511 A Andover HS             MA 1          ( 4-14, 82.0)     3-10   
 514 H Central Catholic       MA 1          (13- 8, 84.4)     8-21   
 519 A Lowell                 MA 1          ( 3-15, 75.4)     7- 6   
 521 N Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          ( 2-13, 70.5)     9- 5   
 524 N Woburn                 MA 1          ( 9-11, 80.8)     5- 6  o
 601 A Walpole                MA 2          (18- 4, 94.4)     4-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Tyngsborough            6-10      -4    -4           0.93
   406 H Salem                  10- 5       5    10    --    -5.00
   409 H Haverhill              17-13       4     5          -1.16
   412 A Billerica Memorial      1-18     -17   -19           0.00
   415 A Central Catholic        6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.87
   421 A Bedford                12- 5       7     3    +      3.40
   422 H Wilmington             11- 3       8     9          -1.28
   426 H Lowell                 13- 3      10     5    ++     4.08
   428 H Triton Regional        12- 9       3     9    ---   -6.75
   430 H Chelmsford              2-10      -8    -8           0.27
   504 A Haverhill               8- 2       6     3    +      2.64
   505 H Pentucket              10-11      -1     1    -     -2.04
   506 A Tewksbury Memorial     11- 2       9     8           0.03
   510 A Malden Catholic         4-16     -12   -12           0.00
   511 A Andover HS              3-10      -7    -2    --    -4.53
   514 H Central Catholic        8-21     -13    -3    ---   -6.94
   519 A Lowell                  7- 6       1     4    -     -3.11
   521 N Tewksbury Memorial      9- 5       4     9    --    -5.87
   524 N Woburn                  5- 6  o   -1     0          -0.65
   601 A Walpole                 4-18     -14   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Triton Regional        12- 9       3     9    ---   -6.75
   514 H Central Catholic        8-21     -13    -3    ---   -6.94
   406 H Salem                  10- 5       5    10    --    -5.00
   511 A Andover HS              3-10      -7    -2    --    -4.53
   521 N Tewksbury Memorial      9- 5       4     9    --    -5.87
   505 H Pentucket              10-11      -1     1    -     -2.04
   519 A Lowell                  7- 6       1     4    -     -3.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Lowell                 13- 3      10     5    ++     4.08
   415 A Central Catholic        6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.87
   421 A Bedford                12- 5       7     3    +      3.40
   504 A Haverhill               8- 2       6     3    +      2.64
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.42 Local Power Rank...........    69
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.97 Local SOS Rank.............    77
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    97
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    54
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    70
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/