Conf =  North Shore               Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Tim Murphy            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.6154938    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Bishop Fenwick         MA 3          ( 5-13, 69.9)    17- 6   
 401 A Wakefield              MA 2          ( 9-10, 83.3)     7-14   
 408 H Hamilton-Wenham        MA 3          (15- 5, 87.9)     9-12   
 412 H Marblehead             MA 2          (14- 6, 86.8)     4- 8   
 415 A Peabody                MA 1          ( 6-12, 77.7)     6-11   
 419 H Salem                  MA 1          ( 6-14, 71.3)    10- 1   
 421 A Pentucket              MA 2          ( 9- 9, 80.3)     5- 4   
 423 A Manchester-Essex       MA 3          (14- 6, 82.5)     9- 7   
 426 H Beverly                MA 2          (17- 6, 89.1)     9-17   
 429 A Saugus                 MA 2          ( 3-14, 64.3)    24- 4   
 503 H Swampscott             MA 3          ( 7-12, 73.9)    13- 5   
 506 A Lynn-Classical/English MA 1          ( 2-15, 60.8)    14- 2   
 508 A Melrose                MA 2          ( 3-17, 73.6)     9- 7   
 510 A Gloucester             MA 2          ( 7-10, 79.6)     6- 5   
 513 H Peabody                MA 1          ( 6-12, 77.7)    19- 6   
 517 H Gloucester             MA 2          ( 7-10, 79.6)    15- 8   
 520 A Marblehead             MA 2          (14- 6, 86.8)     4- 8   
 524 A Beverly                MA 2          (17- 6, 89.1)     6-13   
 525 A Medford                MA 1          (10- 7, 77.3)    13- 5   
 527 H Masconomet             MA 1          (18- 4, 92.2)     4-12   
 602 A Falmouth HS            MA 2          (14- 7, 86.6)     2- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Bishop Fenwick         17- 6      11    13           0.00
   401 A Wakefield               7-14      -7    -1    --    -5.33
   408 H Hamilton-Wenham         9-12      -3    -4           1.41
   412 H Marblehead              4- 8      -4    -3          -0.70
   415 A Peabody                 6-11      -5     4    ---   -9.01
   419 H Salem                  10- 1       9    12          -1.00
   421 A Pentucket               5- 4       1     1          -0.38
   423 A Manchester-Essex        9- 7       2     0    +      2.88
   426 H Beverly                 9-17      -8    -5    -     -2.34
   429 A Saugus                 24- 4      20    17           0.00
   503 H Swampscott             13- 5       8     9          -1.60
   506 A Lynn-Classical/English 14- 2      12    20           0.00
   508 A Melrose                 9- 7       2     8    ---   -6.09
   510 A Gloucester              6- 5       1     2          -1.02
   513 H Peabody                19- 6      13     5    ++     4.19
   517 H Gloucester             15- 8       7     3    +      3.17
   520 A Marblehead              4- 8      -4    -5           1.10
   524 A Beverly                 6-13      -7    -7           0.47
   525 A Medford                13- 5       8     4    +      3.60
   527 H Masconomet              4-12      -8    -8           0.78
   602 A Falmouth HS             2- 7      -5    -4          -0.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Peabody                 6-11      -5     4    ---   -9.01
   508 A Melrose                 9- 7       2     8    ---   -6.09
   401 A Wakefield               7-14      -7    -1    --    -5.33
   426 H Beverly                 9-17      -8    -5    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Peabody                19- 6      13     5    ++     4.19
   423 A Manchester-Essex        9- 7       2     0    +      2.88
   517 H Gloucester             15- 8       7     3    +      3.17
   525 A Medford                13- 5       8     4    +      3.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.57 Local Power Rank...........    60
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.54 Local SOS Rank.............    86
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    62
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    49
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    75
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
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