Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Tigers               Coach  =   Jeff Lombardo         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.1732483    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A North Haven            CT M          ( 7-10, 76.4)    20- 6   
 410 H Simsbury               CT L          (13- 7, 90.2)     6-12   
 413 H Fairfield Prep         CT L          (17- 6, 95.4)     3-14   
 415 A Xavier                 CT L          (12- 7, 86.9)     6- 7   
 417 A East Lyme              CT M          (12- 7, 86.4)     6-10   
 419 A Hamden                 CT L          ( 8-11, 78.2)    20- 2   
 422 H Branford               CT M          ( 5-11, 77.8)    18-12   
 427 A Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          ( 9- 9, 81.2)     9- 8   
 430 A Cheshire HS            CT L          (21- 2, 99.4)    10-16   
 506 H Guilford               CT M          (13- 7, 87.2)     8-10   
 508 H Northwest Catholic     CT S          (10- 9, 84.7)    11- 4   
 511 A Barlow-Redding         CT S          (10- 9, 85.2)     6- 5   
 513 H Shelton                CT L          ( 4-12, 71.9)    16- 0   
 515 H Amity Regional         CT L          ( 9-10, 83.0)    15-10   
 518 H West Haven             CT L          ( 3-13, 65.4)    22- 4   
 521 A Glastonbury            CT L          (15- 6, 92.4)    10-12   
 524 A Xavier                 CT L          (12- 7, 86.9)    10- 9  o
 526 N Cheshire HS            CT L          (21- 2, 99.4)     8-16   
 603 A East Lyme              CT M          (12- 7, 86.4)    14-13   
 605 A New Canaan             CT M          (17- 5, 95.3)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A North Haven            20- 6      14    10           0.00
   410 H Simsbury                6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.13
   413 H Fairfield Prep          3-14     -11    -7    -     -2.98
   415 A Xavier                  6- 7      -1     0          -0.62
   417 A East Lyme               6-10      -4     0    --    -4.11
   419 A Hamden                 20- 2      18     8           1.67
   422 H Branford               18-12       6    10    --    -4.00
   427 A Notre Dame-West Haven   9- 8       1     5    --    -4.33
   430 A Cheshire HS            10-16      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   506 H Guilford                8-10      -2     1    -     -3.13
   508 H Northwest Catholic     11- 4       7     3    +      3.40
   511 A Barlow-Redding          6- 5       1     1          -0.24
   513 H Shelton                16- 0      16    16           0.00
   515 H Amity Regional         15-10       5     5          -0.39
   518 H West Haven             22- 4      18    22           0.00
   521 A Glastonbury            10-12      -2    -5    +      3.94
   524 A Xavier                 10- 9  o    1     0           1.38
   526 N Cheshire HS             8-16      -8   -11    +      2.00
   603 A East Lyme              14-13       1     0           0.89
   605 A New Canaan              5-10      -5    -8    +      3.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Simsbury                6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.13
   417 A East Lyme               6-10      -4     0    --    -4.11
   422 H Branford               18-12       6    10    --    -4.00
   427 A Notre Dame-West Haven   9- 8       1     5    --    -4.33
   413 H Fairfield Prep          3-14     -11    -7    -     -2.98
   506 H Guilford                8-10      -2     1    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Cheshire HS            10-16      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   508 H Northwest Catholic     11- 4       7     3    +      3.40
   521 A Glastonbury            10-12      -2    -5    +      3.94
   526 N Cheshire HS             8-16      -8   -11    +      2.00
   605 A New Canaan              5-10      -5    -8    +      3.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.42 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.83 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
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