Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Bob Moltisanti Jr.    

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.2008209    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A Mount Sinai            NY C  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.8)    13- 6   
 325 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 85.5)    10- 3   
 403 A Oceanside              NY A  Sec 8   ( 8- 8, 87.7)    15- 7   
 407 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 79.2)    11- 6   
 409 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.4)     8- 5   
 413 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 71.9)    13- 3   
 415 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.2)    11- 7   
 419 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 81.0)    16- 9   
 421 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 94.7)     7-10   
 424 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 78.7)    17- 8   
 427 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.9)     9-16   
 505 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.2)     7-10   
 507 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 80.4)    15- 2   
 511 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 87.2)    14- 7   
 514 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 79.1)    14- 4   
 517 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.8)    13-12   
 525 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.8)    14-12   
 528 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.9)     9-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Mount Sinai            13- 6       7    12    -     -3.00
   325 H William Floyd          10- 3       7     7          -0.43
   403 A Oceanside              15- 7       8     4          n/a  
   407 A Middle Country         11- 6       5    12    --    -5.00
   409 A Walt Whitman            8- 5       3     5    -     -2.41
   413 H Riverhead              13- 3      10    20           0.00
   415 A Sachem North           11- 7       4     3           0.37
   419 H Northport              16- 9       7    11    -     -3.00
   421 H Ward Melville           7-10      -3    -1          -1.15
   424 H West Babylon           17- 8       9    14          -1.00
   427 A West Islip              9-16      -7    -8           1.11
   505 A Smithtown West          7-10      -3     0    -     -3.59
   507 A Bay Shore              15- 2      13    11           0.00
   511 H Smithtown East         14- 7       7     5           1.35
   514 A Patchogue-Medford      14- 4      10    12           0.00
   517 H East Islip             13-12       1     1          -0.05
   525 H East Islip             14-12       2     1           0.95
   528 A West Islip              9-13      -4    -8    ++     4.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Middle Country         11- 6       5    12    --    -5.00
   323 A Mount Sinai            13- 6       7    12    -     -3.00
   409 A Walt Whitman            8- 5       3     5    -     -2.41
   419 H Northport              16- 9       7    11    -     -3.00
   505 A Smithtown West          7-10      -3     0    -     -3.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   528 A West Islip              9-13      -4    -8    ++     4.11
   403 A Oceanside              15- 7       8     4    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.34 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.28 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/