Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Garnet Raiders       Coach  =   Michael Joyce         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.3861771    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 8- 9, 83.1)     5- 3   
 408 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (11- 7, 90.7)     4- 7   
 410 H LaSalle Institute      NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 85.4)     8- 7  o
 414 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (12- 7, 91.5)     5- 6   
 416 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (18- 2, 99.9)     2-14   
 420 H Niskayuna              NY B  Sec 2   (17- 5, 99.2)     2-10   
 422 A Burnt Hills            NY B  Sec 2   (10- 9, 86.3)     3- 4  o
 426 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 89.5)     4-10   
 430 A Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-17, 73.1)     6- 4   
 503 H Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 5-12, 82.3)     6- 4   
 505 A Saratoga Spgs          NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-11, 86.4)     6- 5  o
 507 H Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-17, 73.1)     7- 6 2o
 510 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (11- 7, 90.7)     4- 8   
 512 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (12- 7, 91.5)     6- 7  o
 515 H Christian Bros-Albany  NY A  Sec 2   (13- 5, 92.8)     3- 8   
 518 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 89.5)     6-12   
 522 H Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-17, 73.1)    10- 7   
 526 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (12- 7, 91.5)     3- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Schenectady             5- 3       2     0           1.29
   408 H Guilderland             4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.48
   410 H LaSalle Institute       8- 7  o    1    -1    +      2.15
   414 H Bethlehem               5- 6      -1    -7    +++    6.32
   416 A Shenendehowa            2-14     -12   -16           0.00
   420 H Niskayuna               2-10      -8   -14    +      2.00
   422 A Burnt Hills             3- 4  o   -1    -2           1.47
   426 A Shaker                  4-10      -6    -5          -0.36
   430 A Columbia                6- 4       2    10    ---   -8.00
   503 H Ballston Spa            6- 4       2     1           0.12
   505 A Saratoga Spgs           6- 5  o    1    -2    +      3.54
   507 H Columbia                7- 6 2o    1    11    ---   -9.00
   510 A Guilderland             4- 8      -4    -6    +      2.84
   512 A Bethlehem               6- 7  o   -1    -7    +++    6.67
   515 H Christian Bros-Albany   3- 8      -5    -8    +      3.57
   518 H Shaker                  6-12      -6    -5          -0.72
   522 H Columbia               10- 7       3    11    ---   -7.00
   526 A Bethlehem               3- 7      -4    -7    +      3.67

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Columbia                6- 4       2    10    ---   -8.00
   507 H Columbia                7- 6 2o    1    11    ---   -9.00
   522 H Columbia               10- 7       3    11    ---   -7.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Bethlehem               5- 6      -1    -7    +++    6.32
   512 A Bethlehem               6- 7  o   -1    -7    +++    6.67
   408 H Guilderland             4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.48
   410 H LaSalle Institute       8- 7  o    1    -1    +      2.15
   420 H Niskayuna               2-10      -8   -14    +      2.00
   505 A Saratoga Spgs           6- 5  o    1    -2    +      3.54
   510 A Guilderland             4- 8      -4    -6    +      2.84
   515 H Christian Bros-Albany   3- 8      -5    -8    +      3.57
   526 A Bethlehem               3- 7      -4    -7    +      3.67
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.02 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.02 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/