Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Lions                Coach  =   Tom Gallagher         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.5300217    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Catholic Memorial      MA 2          (13- 9, 90.0)    10- 9   
 406 H Central Catholic       MA 1          (13- 8, 84.4)    13- 8   
 409 A Andover HS             MA 1          ( 4-14, 82.0)    10- 5   
 413 H Haverhill              MA 1          ( 4-14, 76.2)     9- 5   
 420 H Malden Catholic        MA 1          (13- 7, 92.4)    12-11   
 422 A South Hadley           MA 2          (18- 2, 97.7)    10-11   
 424 A Salem                  MA 1          ( 6-14, 71.3)    13- 0   
 427 A Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          ( 2-13, 70.5)    13- 1   
 428 H Billerica Memorial     MA 1          (20- 3, 99.0)     5-12   
 430 A Dracut                 MA 2          (10-10, 80.4)    10- 2   
 501 H Londonderry            NH 1          (13- 6, 88.1)     7-11   
 503 H Arlington              MA 2          ( 5-13, 78.5)     8- 7 3o
 505 A Westford Academy       MA 1          (12- 6, 89.7)     9-10  o
 511 A Peabody                MA 1          ( 6-12, 77.7)    11- 3   
 513 A Billerica Memorial     MA 1          (20- 3, 99.0)     6-17   
 516 H Andover HS             MA 1          ( 4-14, 82.0)    10- 9   
 518 A Waltham                MA 1          (12- 9, 87.7)     8-11   
 521 A Lowell                 MA 1          ( 3-15, 75.4)    12- 5   
 524 H Xaverian Bros          MA 1          ( 6-14, 86.5)    13- 9   
 526 H Wakefield              MA 2          ( 9-10, 83.3)    14- 8   
 601 H Weymouth               MA 1          (10-11, 84.3)    16- 6   
 604 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1          (19- 2, 98.9)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Catholic Memorial      10- 9       1    -1    +      2.28
   406 H Central Catholic       13- 8       5     6          -1.11
   409 A Andover HS             10- 5       5     6          -1.71
   413 H Haverhill               9- 5       4    14    ---   -6.00
   420 H Malden Catholic        12-11       1    -1    +      2.87
   422 A South Hadley           10-11      -1    -8          n/a  
   424 A Salem                  13- 0      13    17           0.00
   427 A Tewksbury Memorial     13- 1      12    18           0.00
   428 H Billerica Memorial      5-12      -7    -8           1.47
   430 A Dracut                 10- 2       8     8          -0.27
   501 H Londonderry             7-11      -4     2          n/a  
   503 H Arlington               8- 7 3o    1    12    ---   -9.00
   505 A Westford Academy        9-10  o   -1    -1           0.06
   511 A Peabody                11- 3       8    11    -     -2.00
   513 A Billerica Memorial      6-17     -11   -10           0.00
   516 H Andover HS             10- 9       1     8    ---   -7.51
   518 A Waltham                 8-11      -3     1    --    -4.02
   521 A Lowell                 12- 5       7    13    -     -3.00
   524 H Xaverian Bros          13- 9       4     4          -0.02
   526 H Wakefield              14- 8       6     7          -1.16
   601 H Weymouth               16- 6      10     6    +      3.79
   604 A Lincoln-Sudbury         5-10      -5   -10    ++     5.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Haverhill               9- 5       4    14    ---   -6.00
   501 H Londonderry             7-11      -4     2    ---        
   503 H Arlington               8- 7 3o    1    12    ---   -9.00
   516 H Andover HS             10- 9       1     8    ---   -7.51
   518 A Waltham                 8-11      -3     1    --    -4.02
   511 A Peabody                11- 3       8    11    -     -2.00
   521 A Lowell                 12- 5       7    13    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A South Hadley           10-11      -1    -8    +++        
   604 A Lincoln-Sudbury         5-10      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   401 A Catholic Memorial      10- 9       1    -1    +      2.28
   420 H Malden Catholic        12-11       1    -1    +      2.87
   601 H Weymouth               16- 6      10     6    +      3.79
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.59 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.28 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    40
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    47
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/