Region = NC    Conf-05          
   Nickname = C Red Wolves           Coach  =   Pat Kavanaugh         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.1321259    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 H Northern Durham        NC    Conf-04 ( 5- 6, 81.1)     8- 7   
 309 H Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-04 (13- 4, 91.4)     2- 7   
 316 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (20- 1, 99.9)     3-14   
 319 H Carrboro               NC    Conf-05 (10- 6, 86.1)     6- 7   
 323 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-02 ( 6-10, 84.4)     8- 7   
 325 A Eastern Guilford       NC    Conf-06 ( 3-11, 72.3)    16- 2   
 406 A Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (10- 6, 93.7)     5-18   
 408 H Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-05 ( 4-11, 74.5)     8- 2   
 409 A Carrboro               NC    Conf-05 (10- 6, 86.1)     4- 5  o
 412 H Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (10- 6, 93.7)     3- 9   
 413 H East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (20- 1, 99.9)     7-13   
 416 A Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-05 ( 4-11, 74.5)    15- 9   
 419 H J.F. Webb              NC    Conf-04 ( 0-12, 64.5)    15- 1   
 422 A Western Alamance       NC    Conf-06 ( 9- 6, 83.5)    12- 8   
 429 A Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-04 (13- 4, 91.4)     6-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Northern Durham         8- 7       1     3    -     -2.74
   309 H Durham Jordan           2- 7      -5    -6           1.55
   316 A East Chapel Hill        3-14     -11   -16           0.00
   319 H Carrboro                6- 7      -1    -1           0.20
   323 A Panther Creek           8- 7       1     0           1.95
   325 A Eastern Guilford       16- 2      14    11           0.00
   406 A Chapel Hill             5-18     -13   -10           0.00
   408 H Hillsborough Orange     8- 2       6    10    --    -4.00
   409 A Carrboro                4- 5  o   -1    -2           1.59
   412 H Chapel Hill             3- 9      -6    -8    +      2.88
   413 H East Chapel Hill        7-13      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   416 A Hillsborough Orange    15- 9       6     8    -     -2.96
   419 H J.F. Webb              15- 1      14    20           0.00
   422 A Western Alamance       12- 8       4     0    +      3.99
   429 A Durham Jordan           6-14      -8    -7          -0.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Hillsborough Orange     8- 2       6    10    --    -4.00
   305 H Northern Durham         8- 7       1     3    -     -2.74
   416 A Hillsborough Orange    15- 9       6     8    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H East Chapel Hill        7-13      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   412 H Chapel Hill             3- 9      -6    -8    +      2.88
   422 A Western Alamance       12- 8       4     0    +      3.99
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.17 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.60 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/