Conf =  D2                        Region = CA    NCLA-E           
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Messersmith      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7847672    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 A Chico                  CA    NCLA-E  (11- 4, 90.5)     2- 7   
 306 A Casa Grande            CA    NCLA-N  (20- 2, 99.9)     4-15   
 307 H Redding                CA    NCLA-E  ( 5- 9, 81.5)     4- 3   
 313 A Gold Country           CA    NCLA-E  (10- 4, 91.3)     3- 4   
 320 N Morgan Hill            CA    NCLA-S  ( 3-11, 76.0)    10- 4   
 320 A San Jose               CA    NCLA-S  ( 8- 6, 82.4)    11- 8   
 321 N Stockton               CA    NCLA-S  ( 1-12, 71.3)     6- 2   
 405 H Orangevale             CA    NCLA-E  ( 9- 4, 88.9)     1- 7   
 407 H Pleasant Grove         CA    NCLA-E  ( 3-10, 76.4)     9- 3   
 410 A Stockton               CA    NCLA-S  ( 1-12, 71.3)    16- 5   
 417 A Sierra Foothills       CA    NCLA-E  ( 0-13, 64.6)    21- 1   
 418 A Chico                  CA    NCLA-E  (11- 4, 90.5)     1-12   
 424 A Pleasant Grove         CA    NCLA-E  ( 3-10, 76.4)     0- 1   
 428 H Gold Country           CA    NCLA-E  (10- 4, 91.3)     1-14   
 501 A Orangevale             CA    NCLA-E  ( 9- 4, 88.9)     2- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Chico                   2- 7      -5    -7    +      2.92
   306 A Casa Grande             4-15     -11   -17           0.00
   307 H Redding                 4- 3       1     2          -1.12
   313 A Gold Country            3- 4      -1    -8    +++    7.75
   320 N Morgan Hill            10- 4       6     7          -1.04
   320 A San Jose               11- 8       3     0    +      2.88
   321 N Stockton                6- 2       4    11    ---   -6.00
   405 H Orangevale              1- 7      -6    -5          -0.73
   407 H Pleasant Grove          9- 3       6     7          -1.19
   410 A Stockton               16- 5      11    11           0.00
   417 A Sierra Foothills       21- 1      20    17           0.00
   418 A Chico                   1-12     -11    -7    -     -2.08
   428 H Gold Country            1-14     -13    -7    -     -2.33
   501 A Orangevale              2- 7      -5    -6           1.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 N Stockton                6- 2       4    11    ---   -6.00
   418 A Chico                   1-12     -11    -7    -     -2.08
   428 H Gold Country            1-14     -13    -7    -     -2.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Gold Country            3- 4      -1    -8    +++    7.75
   227 A Chico                   2- 7      -5    -7    +      2.92
   320 A San Jose               11- 8       3     0    +      2.88
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.08 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.82 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.7
/