Region = NC    Conf-05          
   Nickname = C Jaguars              Coach  =   Pete Procopio         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.3253632    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 H Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-04 (13- 4, 91.4)     6- 4   
 309 H Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (10- 6, 93.7)     5-12   
 311 A Western Guilford       NC    Conf-07 ( 7- 8, 85.9)     4-11   
 316 A Cary HS                NC    Conf-02 ( 1-15, 75.4)     7- 4   
 319 A Cedar Ridge            NC    Conf-05 ( 7- 8, 84.2)     7- 6   
 323 H East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (20- 1, 99.9)     2-17   
 324 A Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-04 ( 2-11, 67.9)    12- 0   
 406 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (20- 1, 99.9)     5-15   
 407 H Reagan                 NC    Conf-08 ( 6- 7, 81.9)     8- 6   
 409 H Cedar Ridge            NC    Conf-05 ( 7- 8, 84.2)     5- 4  o
 412 H Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-04 ( 2-11, 67.9)    15- 0   
 414 H Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-05 ( 4-11, 74.5)    10- 3   
 417 H Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-04 ( 9- 7, 86.8)     7- 6   
 420 A Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-05 ( 4-11, 74.5)    11- 3   
 422 A Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (10- 6, 93.7)     6-13   
 429 A Holly Springs          NC    Conf-02 (15- 3, 96.2)     2-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Durham Jordan           6- 4       2    -4    +++    6.65
   309 H Chapel Hill             5-12      -7    -6          -0.01
   311 A Western Guilford        4-11      -7     0    ---   -6.45
   316 A Cary HS                 7- 4       3     9    ---   -6.94
   319 A Cedar Ridge             7- 6       1     1          -0.20
   323 H East Chapel Hill        2-17     -15   -13           0.00
   324 A Roxboro Community Sch  12- 0      12    17           0.00
   406 A East Chapel Hill        5-15     -10   -14           0.00
   407 H Reagan                  8- 6       2     4    -     -2.86
   409 H Cedar Ridge             5- 4  o    1     2          -1.59
   412 H Roxboro Community Sch  15- 0      15    18           0.00
   414 H Hillsborough Orange    10- 3       7    12    -     -3.00
   417 H Durham Riverside        7- 6       1     0           1.00
   420 A Hillsborough Orange    11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00
   422 A Chapel Hill             6-13      -7    -8           1.38
   429 A Holly Springs           2-11      -9   -10           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Western Guilford        4-11      -7     0    ---   -6.45
   316 A Cary HS                 7- 4       3     9    ---   -6.94
   407 H Reagan                  8- 6       2     4    -     -2.86
   414 H Hillsborough Orange    10- 3       7    12    -     -3.00
   420 A Hillsborough Orange    11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Durham Jordan           6- 4       2    -4    +++    6.65
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.06 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.18 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/