Region = NY B  Sec 8            
   Nickname = Y Colts                Coach  =   Don Fleming           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.0528107    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Friends Academy        NY C  Sec 8   (13- 4, 91.3)     5-10   
 327 A Plainview JFK          NY A  Sec 8   ( 7- 8, 81.3)     9- 5   
 403 A Hewlett                NY B  Sec 8   ( 9- 6, 86.8)     7- 6  o
 406 A Freeport               NY A  Sec 8   ( 4-11, 75.4)     9- 2   
 407 H North Shore            NY C  Sec 8   ( 4-11, 77.7)     3- 4   
 410 A Roslyn                 NY B  Sec 8   ( 8- 7, 83.0)     5- 9   
 413 A Elmont                 NY B  Sec 8   ( 8- 7, 77.7)    13- 7   
 417 H Great Neck South       NY B  Sec 8   ( 7- 9, 82.2)     8- 4   
 420 A Long Beach             NY B  Sec 8   ( 8- 9, 87.7)     3-10   
 423 H Carey                  NY B  Sec 8   ( 7-10, 81.4)     8- 9   
 501 H Holy Trinity           NY    AAA-AA  (11- 8, 90.4)     4- 9   
 505 A Jericho                NY B  Sec 8   ( 5-10, 76.7)     9- 4   
 508 H Division-Levittown     NY B  Sec 8   (16- 2, 94.6)     8-13   
 512 H Garden City            NY B  Sec 8   (18- 4, 97.3)     2-15   
 514 A Wantagh                NY B  Sec 8   (16- 3, 96.3)     6-17   
 519 A Lynbrook               NY B  Sec 8   (13- 5, 91.4)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Friends Academy         5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.53
   327 A Plainview JFK           9- 5       4     0    +      3.51
   403 A Hewlett                 7- 6  o    1    -5    +++    6.07
   406 A Freeport                9- 2       7     6           0.66
   407 H North Shore             3- 4      -1     4    --    -5.65
   410 A Roslyn                  5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.73
   413 A Elmont                 13- 7       6     4           1.94
   417 H Great Neck South        8- 4       4     0    +      3.87
   420 A Long Beach              3-10      -7    -5          -1.05
   423 H Carey                   8- 9      -1     0          -1.98
   501 H Holy Trinity            4- 9      -5    -7          n/a  
   505 A Jericho                 9- 4       5     5          -0.11
   508 H Division-Levittown      8-13      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   512 H Garden City             2-15     -13   -14           0.00
   514 A Wantagh                 6-17     -11   -14           0.00
   519 A Lynbrook                7- 8      -1    -9    +++    8.67

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H North Shore             3- 4      -1     4    --    -5.65
   410 A Roslyn                  5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.73

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Hewlett                 7- 6  o    1    -5    +++    6.07
   519 A Lynbrook                7- 8      -1    -9    +++    8.67
   325 A Friends Academy         5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.53
   508 H Division-Levittown      8-13      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   327 A Plainview JFK           9- 5       4     0    +      3.51
   417 H Great Neck South        8- 4       4     0    +      3.87
   501 H Holy Trinity            4- 9      -5    -7    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.05 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.86 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/