Region = VA    Dulles           
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Steve Sheetz          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.5756683    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 H Liberty-Bealeton       VA    Evergn  ( 2-13, 73.3)    21- 5   
 318 H Kettle Run             VA    Evergn  (14- 4, 92.8)    19-12   
 320 A Robinson               VA    Concord (13- 5, 95.9)    12-18   
 322 A Fauquier               VA    Evergn  ( 3-10, 76.6)    17- 4   
 408 H Loudoun County         VA    Dulles  ( 9- 7, 88.9)    15- 6   
 415 A Potomac Falls          VA    Dulles  ( 4- 9, 83.0)    16- 6   
 417 A Bullis                 DC    IAC     (15- 5, 95.5)     4-18   
 419 H Dominion HS            VA    Dulles  (12- 7, 92.2)    17-13   
 422 A Freedom-South Riding   VA    Dulles  ( 5-10, 82.7)    17- 7   
 427 A Oakton                 VA    Concord ( 6-10, 88.7)    10-13   
 429 H Park View              VA    Dulles  ( 1-13, 66.8)    21- 4   
 503 H Broad Run              VA    Dulles  (10- 7, 94.2)     8-16   
 506 A George Mason           VA    Dulles  ( 8- 7, 88.5)    17-12   
 513 H Freedom-South Riding   VA    Dulles  ( 5-10, 82.7)    18- 6   
 518 H Dominion HS            VA    Dulles  (12- 7, 92.2)     5-12   
 519 N Loudoun County         VA    Dulles  ( 9- 7, 88.9)    12- 7   
 524 A Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  (15- 3, 99.9)     5- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Liberty-Bealeton       21- 5      16    21           0.00
   318 H Kettle Run             19-12       7     1    ++     5.36
   320 A Robinson               12-18      -6    -3          n/a  
   322 A Fauquier               17- 4      13    15           0.00
   408 H Loudoun County         15- 6       9     5    +      3.48
   415 A Potomac Falls          16- 6      10     9           0.74
   417 A Bullis                  4-18     -14    -3          n/a  
   419 H Dominion HS            17-13       4     2           1.81
   422 A Freedom-South Riding   17- 7      10     9           0.43
   427 A Oakton                 10-13      -3     3          n/a  
   429 H Park View              21- 4      17    27           0.00
   503 H Broad Run               8-16      -8     0    ---   -8.22
   506 A George Mason           17-12       5     3           1.19
   513 H Freedom-South Riding   18- 6      12    11           0.00
   518 H Dominion HS             5-12      -7     2    ---   -9.19
   519 N Loudoun County         12- 7       5     4           0.55
   524 A Western Albemarle       5- 8      -3    -7    ++     4.64

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Bullis                  4-18     -14    -3    ---        
   427 A Oakton                 10-13      -3     3    ---        
   503 H Broad Run               8-16      -8     0    ---   -8.22
   518 H Dominion HS             5-12      -7     2    ---   -9.19
   320 A Robinson               12-18      -6    -3    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Kettle Run             19-12       7     1    ++     5.36
   524 A Western Albemarle       5- 8      -3    -7    ++     4.64
   408 H Loudoun County         15- 6       9     5    +      3.48
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.34 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.29 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/