Conf =  Bay State                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Steve Zella           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.0373993    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 H Weymouth               MA 1          (10-11, 84.3)     5- 8   
 408 H Milton                 MA 2          ( 2-16, 71.3)    14- 2   
 413 A Needham                MA 1          (19- 3, 94.8)     6-16   
 415 A Norwood                MA 2          (14- 7, 87.1)     9-11   
 420 A Acton Boxborough       MA 1          ( 7- 9, 85.5)     4-10   
 422 A Austin Prep            MA 3          (14- 8, 85.2)    10- 4   
 424 A Newton South           MA 1          ( 1-15, 72.5)    14- 4   
 427 A Braintree              MA 1          ( 3-17, 73.8)    10- 4   
 429 H Walpole                MA 2          (18- 4, 94.4)     6- 9   
 503 H Newton North           MA 1          ( 9-11, 84.2)     7- 4   
 505 H Framingham             MA 1          ( 7-12, 80.4)     9- 8   
 507 A Weymouth               MA 1          (10-11, 84.3)     6- 8   
 510 A Wellesley              MA 2          (16- 7, 91.5)     1-12   
 512 H Needham                MA 1          (19- 3, 94.8)     2-15   
 513 H Natick                 MA 1          ( 8-12, 81.3)    11- 5   
 517 H Braintree              MA 1          ( 3-17, 73.8)    10- 3   
 519 A Dedham                 MA 3          ( 1-19, 63.7)    17- 4   
 521 A Newton North           MA 1          ( 9-11, 84.2)     7-12   
 524 A Framingham             MA 1          ( 7-12, 80.4)    12- 6   
 526 H Medford                MA 1          (10- 7, 77.3)    19- 1   
 602 A Bridgewater-Raynham    MA 1          (15- 4, 83.8)     8- 7   
 605 A Billerica Memorial     MA 1          (20- 3, 99.0)     4-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Weymouth                5- 8      -3     1    --    -4.33
   408 H Milton                 14- 2      12    14           0.00
   413 A Needham                 6-16     -10   -10           0.00
   415 A Norwood                 9-11      -2    -3           1.28
   420 A Acton Boxborough        4-10      -6    -1    --    -4.26
   422 A Austin Prep            10- 4       6    -1    +++    7.41
   424 A Newton South           14- 4      10    11           0.00
   427 A Braintree              10- 4       6     9    -     -3.98
   429 H Walpole                 6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.73
   503 H Newton North            7- 4       3     1           1.53
   505 H Framingham              9- 8       1     5    --    -4.26
   507 A Weymouth                6- 8      -2     0          -1.53
   510 A Wellesley               1-12     -11    -7    -     -2.29
   512 H Needham                 2-15     -13    -9          -0.86
   513 H Natick                 11- 5       6     4           1.67
   517 H Braintree              10- 3       7    11    -     -3.00
   519 A Dedham                 17- 4      13    20           0.00
   521 A Newton North            7-12      -5     0    --    -4.66
   524 A Framingham             12- 6       6     3    +      2.55
   526 H Medford                19- 1      18     8           1.64
   602 A Bridgewater-Raynham     8- 7       1     0           1.03
   605 A Billerica Memorial      4-18     -14   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Weymouth                5- 8      -3     1    --    -4.33
   420 A Acton Boxborough        4-10      -6    -1    --    -4.26
   505 H Framingham              9- 8       1     5    --    -4.26
   521 A Newton North            7-12      -5     0    --    -4.66
   427 A Braintree              10- 4       6     9    -     -3.98
   510 A Wellesley               1-12     -11    -7    -     -2.29
   517 H Braintree              10- 3       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Austin Prep            10- 4       6    -1    +++    7.41
   429 H Walpole                 6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.73
   524 A Framingham             12- 6       6     3    +      2.55
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.71 Local Power Rank...........    44
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.12 Local SOS Rank.............    46
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    65
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    40
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    56
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/