Region = NE 1  West             
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Kevan Bowler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.4745178    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 N Fairview               CO    North   (10- 6, 88.6)    15- 4   
 324 N Wellington School      OH 2  Central ( 9- 7, 83.0)    11- 2   
 331 A Deerfield              NE 1  West    (15- 1, 99.9)     6-11   
 407 H Avon Old Farms         NE 1  West-FL (15- 3, 95.4)     9-11   
 410 A Loomis Chaffee         NE 1  West-FL ( 6- 9, 86.0)     8- 7   
 414 A Hotchkiss              NE 1  West-FL ( 7- 7, 86.3)     3- 4   
 417 H St Peter's             CN    COSSA   (14- 4, 96.1)    19-10   
 421 A Williston Northampton  NE 2  West    ( 7- 6, 92.6)    14- 6   
 422 H Salisbury School       NE 1  West    (13- 1, 96.7)     1-13   
 424 H Trinity-Pawling        NE 1  West-FL ( 4-13, 82.1)     9- 8   
 430 H Taft School            NE 1  West-FL (10- 6, 91.0)     6-11   
 501 A Choate                 NE 1  West-FL ( 7- 9, 85.5)    10- 9   
 505 A Westminster School     NE 1  West-FL (10- 3, 92.9)     5-11   
 508 H Suffield Academy       NE 2  West    ( 5- 9, 87.9)    16- 3   
 512 A Millbrook              NE 2  West    (11- 5, 97.1)    14- 9   
 514 A Brunswick School       NE 1  West    (13- 5, 93.5)     5-11   
 515 H Canterbury             NE 2  West    ( 9- 5, 95.0)    16- 3   
 519 A Gunnery                NE 2  West    ( 3-13, 84.9)    19- 4   
 522 A Kent School            NE 1  West-FL ( 4-12, 83.2)     6- 5  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 N Fairview               15- 4      11     2          n/a  
   324 N Wellington School      11- 2       9     8          n/a  
   331 A Deerfield               6-11      -5    -9    ++     4.73
   407 H Avon Old Farms          9-11      -2    -3           1.53
   410 A Loomis Chaffee          8- 7       1     4    -     -3.13
   414 A Hotchkiss               3- 4      -1     3    --    -4.84
   417 H St Peter's             19-10       9    -4          n/a  
   421 A Williston Northampton  14- 6       8    -2          n/a  
   422 H Salisbury School        1-13     -12    -4    --    -5.11
   424 H Trinity-Pawling         9- 8       1     9    ---   -8.76
   430 H Taft School             6-11      -5     0    --    -5.87
   501 A Choate                 10- 9       1     4    -     -3.72
   505 A Westminster School      5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.25
   508 H Suffield Academy       16- 3      13     3          n/a  
   512 A Millbrook              14- 9       5    -6          n/a  
   514 A Brunswick School        5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.70
   515 H Canterbury             16- 3      13    -3          n/a  
   519 A Gunnery                19- 4      15     5          n/a  
   522 A Kent School             6- 5  o    1     6    --    -5.97

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Trinity-Pawling         9- 8       1     9    ---   -8.76
   414 A Hotchkiss               3- 4      -1     3    --    -4.84
   422 H Salisbury School        1-13     -12    -4    --    -5.11
   430 H Taft School             6-11      -5     0    --    -5.87
   522 A Kent School             6- 5  o    1     6    --    -5.97
   410 A Loomis Chaffee          8- 7       1     4    -     -3.13
   501 A Choate                 10- 9       1     4    -     -3.72
   505 A Westminster School      5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.25
   514 A Brunswick School        5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.70

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 N Fairview               15- 4      11     2    +++        
   417 H St Peter's             19-10       9    -4    +++        
   421 A Williston Northampton  14- 6       8    -2    +++        
   508 H Suffield Academy       16- 3      13     3    +++        
   512 A Millbrook              14- 9       5    -6    +++        
   515 H Canterbury             16- 3      13    -3    +++        
   331 A Deerfield               6-11      -5    -9    ++     4.73
   519 A Gunnery                19- 4      15     5    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.01 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.23 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    9.7
/