Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Hornets              Coach  =   Brian Adkins          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.0199356    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Hall-West Hartford     CT L          (10- 8, 84.1)     2-12   
 410 A Conard-West Hartford   CT M          (13- 6, 87.1)     9-15   
 413 A Guilford               CT M          (13- 7, 87.2)     7-14   
 415 H Shelton                CT L          ( 4-12, 71.9)    10- 0   
 419 A Morgan-Clinton         CT S          ( 7-10, 75.8)    14- 7   
 422 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (11- 9, 87.4)    12-18   
 424 H Northwest Catholic     CT S          (10- 9, 84.7)     6-11   
 427 H Old Lyme               CT S          (11- 7, 84.0)     4-12   
 501 A Amity Regional         CT L          ( 9-10, 83.0)     4- 8   
 504 H Fairfield Prep         CT L          (17- 6, 95.4)     3-15   
 506 H Xavier                 CT L          (12- 7, 86.9)     2-12   
 508 H East Lyme              CT M          (12- 7, 86.4)     4- 7   
 510 A Cheshire HS            CT L          (21- 2, 99.4)     1-19   
 513 A Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 3-12, 69.7)    11- 3   
 519 H North Haven            CT M          ( 7-10, 76.4)     9- 4   
 522 H Hamden                 CT L          ( 8-11, 78.2)    13- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Hall-West Hartford      2-12     -10    -5    --    -4.58
   410 A Conard-West Hartford    9-15      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   413 A Guilford                7-14      -7   -10    +      3.00
   415 H Shelton                10- 0      10     6    +      3.22
   419 A Morgan-Clinton         14- 7       7     1    ++     5.96
   422 A Daniel Hand-Madison    12-18      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   424 H Northwest Catholic      6-11      -5    -6           1.03
   427 H Old Lyme                4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.76
   501 A Amity Regional          4- 8      -4    -6    +      2.09
   504 H Fairfield Prep          3-15     -12   -16           0.00
   506 H Xavier                  2-12     -10    -8          -1.84
   508 H East Lyme               4- 7      -3    -7    ++     4.67
   510 A Cheshire HS             1-19     -18   -22           0.00
   513 A Fitch-Groton           11- 3       8     7           0.86
   519 H North Haven             9- 4       5     2    +      2.65
   522 H Hamden                 13- 6       7     0    +++    6.45

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Hall-West Hartford      2-12     -10    -5    --    -4.58
   427 H Old Lyme                4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.76

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 H Hamden                 13- 6       7     0    +++    6.45
   410 A Conard-West Hartford    9-15      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   419 A Morgan-Clinton         14- 7       7     1    ++     5.96
   422 A Daniel Hand-Madison    12-18      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   508 H East Lyme               4- 7      -3    -7    ++     4.67
   413 A Guilford                7-14      -7   -10    +      3.00
   415 H Shelton                10- 0      10     6    +      3.22
   501 A Amity Regional          4- 8      -4    -6    +      2.09
   519 H North Haven             9- 4       5     2    +      2.65
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.79 Local Power Rank...........    48
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.89 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    43
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    55
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
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