Region = MI 1                   
   Nickname = I Nighthawks           Coach  =   Aaron Sims            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.4927139    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Ann Arbor Huron        MI 1          ( 9- 8, 73.2)     8- 6   
 330 A South Lyon             MI 1          ( 7-10, 68.8)    10- 7   
 413 A Waterford              MI 1          ( 5-13, 62.4)    13- 4   
 415 H Troy                   MI 1          ( 6-13, 69.8)    10- 4   
 417 H Farmington             MI 2          ( 9- 9, 74.8)    12-11   
 422 A Troy Athens            MI 1          (15- 5, 86.9)     0-13   
 424 A Notre Dame Prep        MI 2          (19- 3, 86.8)     5- 9   
 427 H Lake Orion             MI 1          ( 7- 7, 70.0)    10- 5   
 429 H Rochester Adams        MI 2          (14- 6, 78.5)     7- 6 2o
 501 H Bishop Foley           MI 2          ( 3-15, 64.1)     3- 2   
 504 A Birmingham-Seaholm     MI 1          (12- 8, 84.4)    12-18   
 512 A Rochester United       MI 1          (13- 4, 78.6)     3-10   
 514 H North-Harrison         MI 1          ( 6-10, 66.7)    17- 2   
 518 H OL St Mary's           MI 2          (11- 9, 86.4)     4-18   
 526 H Grand Blanc            MI 1          (10-10, 73.2)    12- 9   
 602 N Novi                   MI 1          (10- 7, 76.6)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Ann Arbor Huron         8- 6       2     1           0.66
   330 A South Lyon             10- 7       3     5    -     -2.76
   413 A Waterford              13- 4       9    12          -1.00
   415 H Troy                   10- 4       6     7          -1.44
   417 H Farmington             12-11       1     2          -1.45
   422 A Troy Athens             0-13     -13   -12           0.00
   424 A Notre Dame Prep         5- 9      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   427 H Lake Orion             10- 5       5     7    -     -2.26
   429 H Rochester Adams         7- 6 2o    1    -1    +      2.31
   501 H Bishop Foley            3- 2       1    13    ---   -9.00
   504 A Birmingham-Seaholm     12-18      -6    -9    +      3.79
   512 A Rochester United        3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.96
   514 H North-Harrison         17- 2      15    10           0.00
   518 H OL St Mary's            4-18     -14    -9          -0.81
   526 H Grand Blanc            12- 9       3     4          -1.01
   602 N Novi                    6- 7      -1     0          -0.29

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Bishop Foley            3- 2       1    13    ---   -9.00
   330 A South Lyon             10- 7       3     5    -     -2.76
   427 H Lake Orion             10- 5       5     7    -     -2.26
   512 A Rochester United        3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Notre Dame Prep         5- 9      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   429 H Rochester Adams         7- 6 2o    1    -1    +      2.31
   504 A Birmingham-Seaholm     12-18      -6    -9    +      3.79
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.90 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.82 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
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