Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Scott Faulkner        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.8801270    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Corning East           NY C  Sec 4   (17- 5, 93.0)     3-18   
 401 H Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   (15- 4, 89.4)     9-19   
 409 A Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   ( 5-12, 80.2)     9- 8 2o
 413 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (18- 1, 99.9)     2-17   
 416 H Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 6-12, 77.3)    11- 9   
 420 H Chenango Forks         NY C  Sec 4   ( 7-11, 80.2)     9- 7   
 422 A Corning West           NY B  Sec 4   (10- 9, 83.2)     8- 9 2o
 424 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 87.2)     5-13   
 428 H Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 0-15, 70.3)    10- 5   
 430 A Corning East           NY C  Sec 4   (17- 5, 93.0)     6-16   
 503 H Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   ( 5-12, 80.2)     7- 3   
 505 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (18- 1, 99.9)     3-17   
 511 A Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 6-12, 77.3)     6- 5 2o
 513 A Chenango Forks         NY C  Sec 4   ( 7-11, 80.2)    12- 4   
 518 H Corning West           NY B  Sec 4   (10- 9, 83.2)    11- 8   
 521 A Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 0-15, 70.3)    12- 8   
 603 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (18- 1, 99.9)     6-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Corning East            3-18     -15   -10           0.00
   401 H Corcoran                9-19     -10    -6          n/a  
   409 A Vestal                  9- 8 2o    1     0           0.26
   413 H Ithaca                  2-17     -15   -17           0.00
   416 H Union-Endicott         11- 9       2     5    -     -3.30
   420 H Chenango Forks          9- 7       2     2          -0.45
   422 A Corning West            8- 9 2o   -1    -2           1.25
   424 H Penfield                5-13      -8    -4          n/a  
   428 H Horseheads             10- 5       5    12    --    -5.00
   430 A Corning East            6-16     -10   -11           0.00
   503 H Vestal                  7- 3       4     2           1.62
   505 A Ithaca                  3-17     -14   -18           0.00
   511 A Union-Endicott          6- 5 2o    1     3    -     -2.66
   513 A Chenango Forks         12- 4       8     0    +++    7.19
   518 H Corning West           11- 8       3     0    +      3.61
   521 A Horseheads             12- 8       4    10    ---   -6.00
   603 A Ithaca                  6-17     -11   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 A Horseheads             12- 8       4    10    ---   -6.00
   428 H Horseheads             10- 5       5    12    --    -5.00
   401 H Corcoran                9-19     -10    -6    -          
   416 H Union-Endicott         11- 9       2     5    -     -3.30
   424 H Penfield                5-13      -8    -4    -          
   511 A Union-Endicott          6- 5 2o    1     3    -     -2.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 A Chenango Forks         12- 4       8     0    +++    7.19
   518 H Corning West           11- 8       3     0    +      3.61
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.81 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.09 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.155.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/