Conf =  NWCIAC                    Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Kossbiel        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.9460449    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Valley Regional        CT S          ( 9- 8, 74.8)    17- 3   
 409 H Hall-West Hartford     CT L          (10- 8, 84.1)     8-10   
 413 H Granby Memorial        CT S          ( 6-12, 74.9)     8- 3   
 415 A Somers                 CT S          ( 9- 9, 80.6)     9- 8 2o
 417 A Tolland                CT S          ( 8- 9, 76.3)    14- 4   
 421 H Southington            CT L          ( 9- 8, 85.3)     9-13   
 423 A Ellington              CT S          (15- 4, 83.9)     7- 9   
 430 H Suffield HS            CT S          (10- 9, 79.6)    13- 9   
 505 A Granby Memorial        CT S          ( 6-12, 74.9)    10- 2   
 517 A Conard-West Hartford   CT M          (13- 6, 87.1)     8- 9  o
 520 H Somers                 CT S          ( 9- 9, 80.6)     7- 8  o
 522 A Suffield HS            CT S          (10- 9, 79.6)     9- 4   
 524 A Farmington             CT M          ( 6-10, 74.8)     9- 3   
 525 H Ellington              CT S          (15- 4, 83.9)     7- 8   
 527 H Newington              CT L          ( 9- 9, 78.5)    13- 2   
 528 H Suffield HS            CT S          (10- 9, 79.6)     9-11   
 603 A Brookfield             CT M          (11- 7, 84.9)     9- 8  o
 605 A New Fairfield          CT M          (19- 3, 93.8)     3-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Valley Regional        17- 3      14     9           0.62
   409 H Hall-West Hartford      8-10      -2     0    -     -2.05
   413 H Granby Memorial         8- 3       5     9    --    -4.25
   415 A Somers                  9- 8 2o    1     1          -0.78
   417 A Tolland                14- 4      10     6    +      3.99
   421 H Southington             9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.91
   423 A Ellington               7- 9      -2    -1          -0.43
   430 H Suffield HS            13- 9       4     4          -0.56
   505 A Granby Memorial        10- 2       8     7           0.60
   517 A Conard-West Hartford    8- 9  o   -1    -4    +      3.78
   520 H Somers                  7- 8  o   -1     3    --    -4.63
   522 A Suffield HS             9- 4       5     2    +      2.29
   524 A Farmington              9- 3       6     7          -1.50
   525 H Ellington               7- 8      -1     0          -1.28
   527 H Newington              13- 2      11     5    ++     4.36
   528 H Suffield HS             9-11      -2     4    ---   -6.56
   603 A Brookfield              9- 8  o    1    -2    +      3.58
   605 A New Fairfield           3-14     -11   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   528 H Suffield HS             9-11      -2     4    ---   -6.56
   413 H Granby Memorial         8- 3       5     9    --    -4.25
   520 H Somers                  7- 8  o   -1     3    --    -4.63
   409 H Hall-West Hartford      8-10      -2     0    -     -2.05
   421 H Southington             9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   527 H Newington              13- 2      11     5    ++     4.36
   417 A Tolland                14- 4      10     6    +      3.99
   517 A Conard-West Hartford    8- 9  o   -1    -4    +      3.78
   522 A Suffield HS             9- 4       5     2    +      2.29
   603 A Brookfield              9- 8  o    1    -2    +      3.58
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.26 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.41 Local SOS Rank.............    40
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    39
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/