Conf =  D1                        Region = CA    SCCAL            
   Nickname = A Mariners             Coach  =   Paul Murtha           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.7903366    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 223 H Pacific Collegiate     CA    MTAL    (10- 8, 75.5)    11-10  o
 225 H Pacific Grove          CA    MTAL    ( 9- 7, 73.4)     8- 2   
 305 H Saratoga               CA    SCVAL-D ( 8-11, 75.6)    11- 7   
 309 A Scotts Valley          CA    SCCAL   ( 9-10, 71.9)    16-11   
 312 H San Lorenzo Valley     CA    SCCAL   ( 5-10, 63.9)    13- 6   
 316 A Santa Cruz             CA    SCCAL   ( 0-15, 55.1)    15- 1   
 319 H Robert L Stevenson     CA    MTAL    (18- 1, 89.8)     7-19   
 323 A Soquel                 CA    SCCAL   ( 3- 8, 65.9)    13- 5   
 326 H Harbor                 CA    SCCAL   ( 6- 7, 68.9)    15- 3   
 329 H Archbishop Mitty       CA    WCAL    ( 7- 9, 79.7)     7-12   
 401 H Watsonville            CA    MTAL    (13- 6, 82.1)     9-10   
 416 H Santa Cruz             CA    SCCAL   ( 0-15, 55.1)    15- 0   
 420 A San Lorenzo Valley     CA    SCCAL   ( 5-10, 63.9)    16- 3   
 423 H Carmel                 CA    MTAL    ( 0-12, 61.3)    16- 3   
 424 H Soquel                 CA    SCCAL   ( 3- 8, 65.9)     1- 0   
 427 A Harbor                 CA    SCCAL   ( 6- 7, 68.9)    14- 3   
 430 H Scotts Valley          CA    SCCAL   ( 9-10, 71.9)    18- 4   
 504 A Saint Francis          CA    WCAL    ( 7- 9, 78.3)     9-14   
 512 H San Lorenzo Valley     CA    SCCAL   ( 5-10, 63.9)    14- 0   
 515 A Scotts Valley          CA    SCCAL   ( 9-10, 71.9)    15- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 H Pacific Collegiate     11-10  o    1     6    --    -5.22
   225 H Pacific Grove           8- 2       6     8    -     -2.33
   305 H Saratoga               11- 7       4     6    -     -2.10
   309 A Scotts Valley          16-11       5     7    -     -2.93
   312 H San Lorenzo Valley     13- 6       7    17    -     -3.00
   316 A Santa Cruz             15- 1      14    24           0.00
   319 H Robert L Stevenson      7-19     -12    -8          -1.96
   323 A Soquel                 13- 5       8    13    -     -2.00
   326 H Harbor                 15- 3      12    12           0.00
   329 H Archbishop Mitty        7-12      -5     2    ---   -7.01
   401 H Watsonville             9-10      -1     0          -0.61
   416 H Santa Cruz             15- 0      15    26           0.00
   420 A San Lorenzo Valley     16- 3      13    15           0.00
   423 H Carmel                 16- 3      13    20           0.00
   427 A Harbor                 14- 3      11    10           0.00
   430 H Scotts Valley          18- 4      14     9           0.22
   504 A Saint Francis           9-14      -5     1    ---   -6.54
   512 H San Lorenzo Valley     14- 0      14    17           0.00
   515 A Scotts Valley          15- 7       8     7           0.07

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Archbishop Mitty        7-12      -5     2    ---   -7.01
   504 A Saint Francis           9-14      -5     1    ---   -6.54
   223 H Pacific Collegiate     11-10  o    1     6    --    -5.22
   225 H Pacific Grove           8- 2       6     8    -     -2.33
   305 H Saratoga               11- 7       4     6    -     -2.10
   309 A Scotts Valley          16-11       5     7    -     -2.93
   312 H San Lorenzo Valley     13- 6       7    17    -     -3.00
   323 A Soquel                 13- 5       8    13    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.79 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 42.36 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/