Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Basile          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.3197479    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Newington              CT L          ( 3-13, 67.7)    13- 0   
 405 A Agawam                 MA 2          ( 7-13, 77.3)    10- 2   
 408 H Guilford               CT M          (11- 8, 82.3)     7-10   
 410 A North Haven            CT M          ( 6-10, 69.6)    13- 1   
 414 H Shelton                CT L          ( 8- 9, 73.5)    10- 3   
 422 A Hamden                 CT L          ( 8-10, 74.9)    19- 8   
 424 H Northwest Catholic     CT S          (12- 7, 80.8)     9- 5   
 501 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (12- 9, 83.6)     7- 6   
 503 H Simsbury               CT L          (19- 2, 90.6)     6-19   
 506 A Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          ( 6-10, 71.1)    12- 4   
 507 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (19- 4, 93.8)    10-20   
 510 H Branford               CT M          ( 4-13, 74.8)    10- 8   
 512 A Cheshire HS            CT L          (10-10, 83.3)    10-13   
 514 H West Haven             CT L          ( 1-15, 56.1)    17- 0   
 516 H Amity Regional         CT L          (14- 6, 84.2)    11-14   
 517 A Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 5-10, 66.9)    16- 5   
 520 A Cheshire HS            CT L          (10-10, 83.3)     9-10   
 531 A Glastonbury            CT L          (15- 5, 87.7)     8-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Newington              13- 0      13    15           0.00
   405 A Agawam                 10- 2       8     4          n/a  
   408 H Guilford                7-10      -3     0    -     -3.76
   410 A North Haven            13- 1      12    11           0.00
   414 H Shelton                10- 3       7     9    -     -2.59
   422 A Hamden                 19- 8      11     6    +      3.72
   424 H Northwest Catholic      9- 5       4     2           1.72
   501 A Daniel Hand-Madison     7- 6       1    -2    +      3.39
   503 H Simsbury                6-19     -13    -7    -     -2.49
   506 A Notre Dame-West Haven  12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00
   507 A Fairfield Prep         10-20     -10   -12           0.00
   510 H Branford               10- 8       2     8    ---   -6.26
   512 A Cheshire HS            10-13      -3    -2          -0.91
   514 H West Haven             17- 0      17    26           0.00
   516 H Amity Regional         11-14      -3    -1          -1.85
   517 A Fitch-Groton           16- 5      11    14           0.00
   520 A Cheshire HS             9-10      -1    -2           1.09
   531 A Glastonbury             8-14      -6    -6           0.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H Branford               10- 8       2     8    ---   -6.26
   408 H Guilford                7-10      -3     0    -     -3.76
   414 H Shelton                10- 3       7     9    -     -2.59
   503 H Simsbury                6-19     -13    -7    -     -2.49
   506 A Notre Dame-West Haven  12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Agawam                 10- 2       8     4    +          
   422 A Hamden                 19- 8      11     6    +      3.72
   501 A Daniel Hand-Madison     7- 6       1    -2    +      3.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.14 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.89 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    77
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/