Region = WA 2  Skagit           
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Greg Hill             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.3681335    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 A Stanwood               WA 2  Skagit  ( 2- 8, 78.9)    11- 5   
 314 A Nathan Hale            WA 2  Metro   (10- 4, 95.0)     4- 6   
 319 A San Juan               WA 2  Skagit  ( 5- 6, 85.7)     5- 4   
 326 H Northshore-Bothell     WA 2  Cascade (14- 4, 97.4)     7-14   
 401 H North County           WA 2  Skagit  ( 2-11, 76.3)    15- 3   
 415 H Mukilteo               WA 2  Cascade ( 7- 7, 89.6)     5- 9   
 418 A Redmond                WA 2  Cascade (10- 2, 98.2)     6-17   
 423 H San Juan               WA 2  Skagit  ( 5- 6, 85.7)     9-10   
 424 A Snohomish              WA 2  Cascade ( 5- 6, 90.6)     6-14   
 426 A Overlake               WA 2  Eastsde (11- 5, 91.9)     4- 7   
 430 H Stanwood               WA 2  Skagit  ( 2- 8, 78.9)     6- 5   
 502 A North County           WA 2  Skagit  ( 2-11, 76.3)    13- 4   
 507 H Port Angeles           WA 2  Olympic ( 5- 6, 81.0)    14- 7   
 509 A Overlake               WA 2  Eastsde (11- 5, 91.9)     5- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Stanwood               11- 5       6     7          -1.34
   314 A Nathan Hale             4- 6      -2    -8    +++    6.83
   319 A San Juan                5- 4       1     0           0.50
   326 H Northshore-Bothell      7-14      -7    -9    +      2.76
   401 H North County           15- 3      12    11           0.00
   415 H Mukilteo                5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.02
   418 A Redmond                 6-17     -11   -11           0.00
   423 H San Juan                9-10      -1     1    -     -2.95
   424 A Snohomish               6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.58
   426 A Overlake                4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.74
   430 H Stanwood                6- 5       1     8    ---   -7.79
   502 A North County           13- 4       9     9          -0.86
   507 H Port Angeles           14- 7       7     6           0.36
   509 A Overlake                5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Stanwood                6- 5       1     8    ---   -7.79
   415 H Mukilteo                5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.02
   423 H San Juan                9-10      -1     1    -     -2.95
   424 A Snohomish               6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Nathan Hale             4- 6      -2    -8    +++    6.83
   326 H Northshore-Bothell      7-14      -7    -9    +      2.76
   426 A Overlake                4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.74
   509 A Overlake                5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.74
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.93 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.50 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/