Region = PA    LL04             
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Edgar Lobley          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.5571136    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 H Northern York Black    PA    Mid 1   ( 8- 6, 86.1)    10- 2   
 325 A Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    ( 4-15, 78.7)    12- 5   
 327 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 7- 9, 81.5)    14- 4   
 328 A North Allegheny        PA    1DNORTH (15- 3, 99.9)     7-10   
 329 A Seneca Valley          PA    1DNORTH (14- 6, 97.8)     9- 7   
 403 A Elizabethtown          PA    LL04    ( 3-11, 77.3)    12- 4   
 405 A Penn Charter           PA    IAC     (16-12, 90.6)     3-16   
 408 A Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (14- 7, 90.1)     8- 6   
 410 H Ephrata                PA    LL04    ( 8-12, 81.5)     9- 5   
 411 H Downingtown West       PA    Suburb  ( 9-12, 85.3)     4- 3   
 415 H Penn Manor             PA    LL04    (12- 9, 87.6)     8- 3   
 417 H Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (14- 5, 93.8)     9- 5   
 418 A Hill School            PA    Indep   (11- 5, 90.4)     4-17   
 422 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL04    (18- 7, 92.6)     8- 7   
 424 A Cocalico               PA    LL04    ( 9- 6, 87.7)    11- 7   
 426 H Parkland               PA    PVLL-LV (11- 6, 86.4)     9- 8 2o
 506 A Hempfield              PA    LL04    (13-12, 89.7)    11- 9   
 512 H Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (19- 9, 93.0)    10-12   
 515 H Hempfield              PA    LL04    (13-12, 89.7)     9- 6   
 517 A Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (19- 9, 93.0)     3-11   
 521 H Hershey                PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 7, 85.5)    17- 8   
 523 A South-Western          PA    York 1  (11- 6, 89.7)    10- 5   
 528 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (14- 5, 93.8)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Northern York Black    10- 2       8     7           0.63
   325 A Conestoga Valley       12- 5       7    13    -     -3.00
   327 A Central Dauphin        14- 4      10    10           0.00
   328 A North Allegheny         7-10      -3    -7          n/a  
   329 A Seneca Valley           9- 7       2    -5          n/a  
   403 A Elizabethtown          12- 4       8    14    -     -2.00
   405 A Penn Charter            3-16     -13     1          n/a  
   408 A Carlisle                8- 6       2     2          -0.16
   410 H Ephrata                 9- 5       4    11    ---   -6.00
   411 H Downingtown West        4- 3       1     8          n/a  
   415 H Penn Manor              8- 3       5     5          -0.83
   417 H Cumberland Valley       9- 5       4     0    ++     4.33
   418 A Hill School             4-17     -13     1          n/a  
   422 A Lampeter-Strasburg      8- 7       1     0           1.35
   424 A Cocalico               11- 7       4     4          -0.62
   426 H Parkland                9- 8 2o    1     7          n/a  
   506 A Hempfield              11- 9       2     2          -0.55
   512 H Manheim Township       10-12      -2     0    -     -2.43
   515 H Hempfield               9- 6       3     3          -0.70
   517 A Manheim Township        3-11      -8     0    ---   -7.28
   521 H Hershey                17- 8       9     7           1.07
   523 A South-Western          10- 5       5     2    +      2.43
   528 A Cumberland Valley       8-10      -2    -1          -0.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Penn Charter            3-16     -13     1    ---        
   410 H Ephrata                 9- 5       4    11    ---   -6.00
   411 H Downingtown West        4- 3       1     8    ---        
   418 A Hill School             4-17     -13     1    ---        
   426 H Parkland                9- 8 2o    1     7    ---        
   517 A Manheim Township        3-11      -8     0    ---   -7.28
   325 A Conestoga Valley       12- 5       7    13    -     -3.00
   403 A Elizabethtown          12- 4       8    14    -     -2.00
   512 H Manheim Township       10-12      -2     0    -     -2.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Seneca Valley           9- 7       2    -5    +++        
   328 A North Allegheny         7-10      -3    -7    ++         
   417 H Cumberland Valley       9- 5       4     0    ++     4.33
   523 A South-Western          10- 5       5     2    +      2.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.85 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.76 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    9.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.215.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/