Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Spartans             Coach  =   Matt Smart            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.1110229    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 93.2)     1-12   
 408 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 83.9)     2- 7   
 410 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)     0-14   
 424 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (19- 3, 99.7)     1-13   
 428 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 77.5)     7- 5   
 430 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 78.1)     7- 6 3o
 502 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (15- 6, 94.7)     6-19   
 505 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 8, 86.6)     2-10   
 509 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 90.6)     7- 6   
 510 A Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   (10-10, 85.7)     3-11   
 512 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-12, 79.3)    15- 5   
 514 N Penn Yan               NY C  Sec 5   (14- 8, 92.5)     0- 8   
 515 H Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 66.7)    19- 2   
 519 A North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 70.6)    15- 3   
 520 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (12- 6, 88.1)     2- 8   
 523 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (12- 9, 87.6)     7- 4   
 527 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   (10- 9, 85.2)     7- 4   
 530 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 8, 86.6)     4- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Amherst                 1-12     -11    -9          -0.50
   408 A Lancaster               2- 7      -5    -1    -     -3.31
   410 A Hamburg                 0-14     -14   -17           0.00
   424 H Orchard Park            1-13     -12   -16           0.00
   428 A Williamsville South     7- 5       2     4    -     -2.68
   430 A West Seneca West        7- 6 3o    1     4    -     -3.15
   502 A Niagara Wheatfield      6-19     -13   -12           0.00
   505 H Clarence                2-10      -8    -2    --    -5.10
   509 H Frontier                7- 6       1    -6    +++    7.98
   510 A Canisius                3-11      -8    -3    --    -4.48
   512 H Lockport               15- 5      10     4    ++     5.62
   514 N Penn Yan                0- 8      -8    -9          n/a  
   515 H Jamestown              19- 2      17    17           0.00
   519 A North Tonawanda        15- 3      12    11           0.00
   520 H Williamsville East      2- 8      -6    -4          -1.61
   523 A West Seneca East        7- 4       3    -5    +++    8.39
   527 H Sweet Home              7- 4       3    -1    ++     4.50
   530 A Clarence                4- 5      -1    -4    +      3.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Clarence                2-10      -8    -2    --    -5.10
   510 A Canisius                3-11      -8    -3    --    -4.48
   408 A Lancaster               2- 7      -5    -1    -     -3.31
   428 A Williamsville South     7- 5       2     4    -     -2.68
   430 A West Seneca West        7- 6 3o    1     4    -     -3.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Frontier                7- 6       1    -6    +++    7.98
   523 A West Seneca East        7- 4       3    -5    +++    8.39
   512 H Lockport               15- 5      10     4    ++     5.62
   527 H Sweet Home              7- 4       3    -1    ++     4.50
   530 A Clarence                4- 5      -1    -4    +      3.35
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.94 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.72 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/