Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Vic Guadagnino        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.4533386    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Babylon                NY C  Sec 11  ( 6-12, 82.6)     8-10   
 329 H Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 86.4)    12-11   
 401 A Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.5)    11- 7   
 403 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 91.4)     5- 6  o
 409 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 76.6)    16- 2   
 411 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (14- 6, 93.0)    10- 9   
 415 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 80.6)     7- 3   
 417 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     8-14   
 423 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.3)    17- 2   
 425 H Locust Valley          NY C  Sec 8   ( 9- 7, 84.7)    15- 5   
 429 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 90.0)     4- 7   
 501 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 76.4)    20- 6   
 507 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (19- 1, 98.7)     9-12   
 510 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 81.7)    17- 7   
 513 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 86.1)    13-12   
 515 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 77.0)    18-10   
 519 A Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 93.1)     8- 9   
 523 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 87.8)     5- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Babylon                 8-10      -2     7    ---   -9.77
   329 H Kings Park             12-11       1     4    -     -3.72
   401 A Bellport               11- 7       4     5          -1.90
   403 H Smithtown West          5- 6  o   -1     0          -0.68
   409 A Sachem North           16- 2      14    13           0.00
   411 H Lindenhurst            10- 9       1    -1    +      2.93
   415 A West Babylon            7- 3       4     9    --    -5.78
   417 A West Islip              8-14      -6    -9    +      3.49
   423 H East Islip             17- 2      15     2    +++    7.15
   425 H Locust Valley          15- 5      10     6          n/a  
   429 A Smithtown East          4- 7      -3     0    -     -3.38
   501 H Longwood               20- 6      14    14           0.00
   507 H Ward Melville           9-12      -3    -7    ++     4.57
   510 H Sachem East            17- 7      10     9           0.61
   513 A Northport              13-12       1     4    -     -3.28
   515 H Patchogue-Medford      18-10       8    14    -     -2.00
   519 A Half Hollow Hills West  8- 9      -1    -2           1.73
   523 A Middle Country          5- 8      -3     2    --    -5.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Babylon                 8-10      -2     7    ---   -9.77
   415 A West Babylon            7- 3       4     9    --    -5.78
   523 A Middle Country          5- 8      -3     2    --    -5.66
   329 H Kings Park             12-11       1     4    -     -3.72
   429 A Smithtown East          4- 7      -3     0    -     -3.38
   513 A Northport              13-12       1     4    -     -3.28
   515 H Patchogue-Medford      18-10       8    14    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H East Islip             17- 2      15     2    +++    7.15
   507 H Ward Melville           9-12      -3    -7    ++     4.57
   411 H Lindenhurst            10- 9       1    -1    +      2.93
   417 A West Islip              8-14      -6    -9    +      3.49
   425 H Locust Valley          15- 5      10     6    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.76 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.61 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/