Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Ed Greenway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.0147552    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 83.9)     7- 8 2o
 407 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 8, 80.8)     6- 2   
 408 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-12, 79.3)     8- 1   
 423 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   (10- 9, 85.2)     7- 8   
 425 A Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 67.1)    16- 2   
 426 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 78.1)     8- 2   
 429 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 80.5)    11- 2   
 501 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)     6-14   
 505 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (12- 9, 87.6)     5- 1   
 507 A North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 70.6)    13- 1   
 509 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 93.2)     4-11   
 512 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 77.5)     8- 1   
 514 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 79.5)     8- 2   
 516 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 84.6)    10- 5   
 519 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 8, 86.6)     6- 4   
 520 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 82.9)     8- 2   
 522 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 90.6)     5- 8   
 530 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 84.6)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Lancaster               7- 8 2o   -1     4    --    -5.88
   407 H East Aurora             6- 2       4     7    -     -3.99
   408 H Lockport                8- 1       7     9    -     -2.49
   423 H Sweet Home              7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.61
   425 A Lake Shore Central     16- 2      14    20           0.00
   426 H West Seneca West        8- 2       6    10    --    -4.00
   429 A Grand Island           11- 2       9     6    +      2.20
   501 H Hamburg                 6-14      -8   -11    +      2.00
   505 H West Seneca East        5- 1       4     1    +      2.82
   507 A North Tonawanda        13- 1      12    16           0.00
   509 A Amherst                 4-11      -7    -5          -1.16
   512 H Williamsville South     8- 1       7    11    -     -3.00
   514 H St Joseph Collegiate    8- 2       6     9    -     -3.28
   516 H Iroquois               10- 5       5     4           0.78
   519 A Clarence                6- 4       2     0           1.24
   520 A Williamsville North     8- 2       6     4           1.61
   522 H Frontier                5- 8      -3    -1          -1.14
   530 H Iroquois                6- 8      -2     4    ---   -6.22

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   530 H Iroquois                6- 8      -2     4    ---   -6.22
   402 H Lancaster               7- 8 2o   -1     4    --    -5.88
   423 H Sweet Home              7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.61
   426 H West Seneca West        8- 2       6    10    --    -4.00
   407 H East Aurora             6- 2       4     7    -     -3.99
   408 H Lockport                8- 1       7     9    -     -2.49
   512 H Williamsville South     8- 1       7    11    -     -3.00
   514 H St Joseph Collegiate    8- 2       6     9    -     -3.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Grand Island           11- 2       9     6    +      2.20
   501 H Hamburg                 6-14      -8   -11    +      2.00
   505 H West Seneca East        5- 1       4     1    +      2.82
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.05 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.53 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/