Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Mike Hoppey           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.3679657    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (12- 5, 90.4)    10- 4   
 401 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 76.6)    12- 1   
 403 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (14- 6, 93.0)     8- 4   
 405 H Garden City            NY B  Sec 8   (15- 5, 98.8)     6- 5   
 409 A Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.5)    11- 2   
 411 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 91.4)     6- 1   
 415 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.3)     7- 6   
 417 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 90.0)    11- 4   
 419 H Yorktown               NY A  Sec 1   (20- 4, 98.9)     9- 1   
 423 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 80.6)    15- 3   
 429 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)    10- 9   
 501 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 90.1)    13- 5   
 507 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 90.8)    12- 9   
 510 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 77.0)    11- 1   
 513 A Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 93.1)    12- 6   
 515 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 81.7)     9- 2   
 519 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 86.1)     9- 1   
 528 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 87.8)     6- 0   
 531 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 91.4)     6- 5   
 605 N West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     3- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Sayville               10- 4       6     7          -1.96
   401 A Sachem North           12- 1      11    21           0.00
   403 H Lindenhurst             8- 4       4     5          -1.99
   405 H Garden City             6- 5       1     0          n/a  
   409 A Bellport               11- 2       9    13          -1.00
   411 H Smithtown West          6- 1       5     7    -     -2.60
   415 H East Islip              7- 6       1    10    ---   -9.00
   417 H Smithtown East         11- 4       7     9    -     -2.00
   419 H Yorktown                9- 1       8     0          n/a  
   423 A West Babylon           15- 3      12    17           0.00
   429 A West Islip             10- 9       1    -1    +      2.57
   501 H Bay Shore              13- 5       8     8          -0.89
   507 A William Floyd          12- 9       3     7    --    -4.57
   510 A Patchogue-Medford      11- 1      10    21           0.00
   513 A Half Hollow Hills West 12- 6       6     5           0.81
   515 H Sachem East             9- 2       7    17    -     -3.00
   519 A Northport               9- 1       8    12    -     -2.00
   528 H Middle Country          6- 0       6    11    --    -4.00
   531 H Smithtown West          6- 5       1     7    ---   -6.60
   605 N West Islip              3- 4      -1    -1           0.22

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H East Islip              7- 6       1    10    ---   -9.00
   531 H Smithtown West          6- 5       1     7    ---   -6.60
   507 A William Floyd          12- 9       3     7    --    -4.57
   528 H Middle Country          6- 0       6    11    --    -4.00
   411 H Smithtown West          6- 1       5     7    -     -2.60
   417 H Smithtown East         11- 4       7     9    -     -2.00
   515 H Sachem East             9- 2       7    17    -     -3.00
   519 A Northport               9- 1       8    12    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Yorktown                9- 1       8     0    +++        
   429 A West Islip             10- 9       1    -1    +      2.57
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 98.68 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.65 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.70 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   21.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.225.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    3.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 19- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/