Region = VA 3  Indep            
   Nickname = A Tempest              Coach  =   Scott Niklason        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.0601807    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A George Mason           VA    Dulles  (14- 2, 93.5)     6- 7   
 314 A Fairfax                VA    Concord ( 4- 8, 78.7)     7- 8  o
 318 A Georgetown Day         DC    MAC     ( 2-10, 78.5)     9- 6   
 329 A Fredericksburg Academy VA 3  Delaney ( 6- 8, 87.0)    14- 3   
 329 N Vincentian Academy     PA    DIV-3   ( 8-10, 77.5)    11- 3   
 405 N Hargrave Military Acad VA 3  VIC     ( 3-11, 81.8)    16- 3   
 405 A Miller School          VA 3  VIC     ( 5- 9, 85.3)    10- 5   
 410 A Fredericksburg Academy VA 3  Delaney ( 6- 8, 87.0)     4- 8   
 415 A Seton School           VA 3  Delaney ( 8- 1, 99.9)    10-11   
 417 H Massanutten Military   VA 3  CavAC   ( 2- 4, 78.1)    16- 1   
 425 N Steward                VA 3  Privte  ( 1- 9, 78.2)    12- 3   
 426 N Shenandoah County      VA    Indep   ( 3- 7, 67.5)    13- 1   
 426 N Seton School           VA 3  Delaney ( 8- 1, 99.9)  1
 430 A St Andrews Episcopal   DC    MAC     ( 2-10, 76.8)    12- 5   
 502 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Nationl ( 1-11, 65.5)    19- 8   
 506 A Maret                  DC    MAC     ( 4-10, 82.2)    13-10   
 513 N Fredericksburg Academy VA 3  Delaney ( 6- 8, 87.0)    16- 6   
 515 N Seton School           VA 3  Delaney ( 8- 1, 99.9)     9- 8  o
 517 N Blue Ridge School      VA 3  CavAC   ( 9- 5, 92.4)    11-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A George Mason            6- 7      -1     1          n/a  
   314 A Fairfax                 7- 8  o   -1    15          n/a  
   318 A Georgetown Day          9- 6       3    16          n/a  
   329 A Fredericksburg Academy 14- 3      11     7    +      2.56
   329 N Vincentian Academy     11- 3       8    17          n/a  
   405 N Hargrave Military Acad 16- 3      13    13           0.00
   405 A Miller School          10- 5       5     9    --    -4.11
   410 A Fredericksburg Academy  4- 8      -4     7    ---  -11.44
   415 A Seton School           10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.49
   417 H Massanutten Military   16- 1      15    18           0.00
   425 N Steward                12- 3       9    17          -1.00
   426 N Shenandoah County      13- 1      12    27          n/a  
   430 A St Andrews Episcopal   12- 5       7    17          n/a  
   502 A J.E.B. Stuart          19- 8      11    29          n/a  
   506 A Maret                  13-10       3    12          n/a  
   513 N Fredericksburg Academy 16- 6      10     8           1.53
   515 N Seton School            9- 8  o    1    -4    ++     5.46
   517 N Blue Ridge School      11-10       1     3    -     -2.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Fairfax                 7- 8  o   -1    15    ---        
   318 A Georgetown Day          9- 6       3    16    ---        
   410 A Fredericksburg Academy  4- 8      -4     7    ---  -11.44
   506 A Maret                  13-10       3    12    ---        
   405 A Miller School          10- 5       5     9    --    -4.11
   313 A George Mason            6- 7      -1     1    -          
   329 N Vincentian Academy     11- 3       8    17    -          
   430 A St Andrews Episcopal   12- 5       7    17    -          
   517 N Blue Ridge School      11-10       1     3    -     -2.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Seton School           10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.49
   515 N Seton School            9- 8  o    1    -4    ++     5.46
   329 A Fredericksburg Academy 14- 3      11     7    +      2.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.44 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.50 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   20.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.165.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/