Stillwater                    9 - 3


 
                                     Region = MN    East             
   Nickname = N Ponies               Coach  =   Travis Sanders        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   89.0142059    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 415 A St Thomas Academy      MN    East    ( 4- 9, 76.6)    12- 3   
 418 H Roseville              MN    East    ( 5- 7, 81.8)     7- 4   
 422 H Woodbury-So Wash Cty   MN    East    ( 5- 8, 81.9)     9- 4   
 426 A Woodbury-So Wash Cty   MN    East    ( 5- 8, 81.9)     6-10   
 428 A Irondale               MN    East    ( 0-12, 66.2)    12- 0   
 429 H Simley                 MN    East    ( 2-11, 71.5)     7- 3   
 430 A Mahtomedi              MN    East    ( 8- 6, 84.7)     6- 5   
 501 A Mounds View            MN    East    (10- 3, 90.1)    11-10   
 505 A Hill-Murray            MN    East    ( 7- 3, 88.7)     2-16   
 507 H Centennial             MN    East    (10- 3, 89.2)     7- 5   
 508 H Owatonna               MN    Indep   ( 3- 9, 74.1)    13- 3   
 512 H Mahtomedi              MN    East    ( 8- 6, 84.7)     8-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A St Thomas Academy      12- 3       9     8           0.49
   418 H Roseville               7- 4       3     5    -     -2.65
   422 H Woodbury-So Wash Cty    9- 4       5     5          -0.57
   426 A Woodbury-So Wash Cty    6-10      -4     3    ---   -7.25
   428 A Irondale               12- 0      12    18           0.00
   429 H Simley                  7- 3       4    15    ---   -6.00
   430 A Mahtomedi               6- 5       1     0           0.60
   501 A Mounds View            11-10       1    -5    +++    6.01
   505 A Hill-Murray             2-16     -14    -3    ---   -6.47
   507 H Centennial              7- 5       2    -1    +      3.75
   508 H Owatonna               13- 3      10    13           0.00
   512 H Mahtomedi               8-11      -3     2    --    -5.71


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Woodbury-So Wash Cty    6-10      -4     3    ---   -7.25
   429 H Simley                  7- 3       4    15    ---   -6.00
   505 A Hill-Murray             2-16     -14    -3    ---   -6.47
   512 H Mahtomedi               8-11      -3     2    --    -5.71
   418 H Roseville               7- 4       3     5    -     -2.65


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Mounds View            11-10       1    -5    +++    6.01
   507 H Centennial              7- 5       2    -1    +      3.75




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.29 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.82 Local SOS Rank.............    36
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    36
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0


  
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