Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Tom Tsagarakis        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.9096985    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 A Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 5-10, 66.9)     9- 3   
 410 H Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 9- 8, 67.9)    17- 5   
 414 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          (11- 7, 78.8)     6-17   
 417 A Ledyard                CT M          (11- 7, 76.4)     7-15   
 419 A Narragansett           RI    Div-1A  (12- 6, 88.0)    12- 6   
 422 A Waterford              CT S          ( 3-12, 65.3)    11- 8   
 424 H Ledyard                CT M          (11- 7, 76.4)     3-16   
 429 H Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 3-13, 60.6)    13- 4   
 501 A East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 86.6)     8-12   
 505 H Valley Regional        CT S          ( 7- 9, 66.2)    15- 4   
 508 H Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 6-10, 63.3)    16- 1   
 510 A Suffield HS            CT S          (10- 8, 75.2)     8-12   
 512 A Tolland                CT S          ( 7-10, 69.9)     9-11   
 513 H Old Lyme               CT S          (16- 1, 89.6)     4-19   
 515 H Farmington             CT M          (11- 7, 77.6)     7- 8   
 519 H Morgan-Clinton         CT S          ( 9- 7, 74.7)     5-11   
 521 A East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 86.6)     5-14   
 531 A Old Lyme               CT S          (16- 1, 89.6)     2-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Fitch-Groton            9- 3       6     4           1.78
   410 H Woodstock Academy      17- 5      12     5    ++     4.96
   414 A Norwich Free Academy    6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.29
   417 A Ledyard                 7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.74
   419 A Narragansett           12- 6       6   -16          n/a  
   422 A Waterford              11- 8       3     5    -     -2.82
   424 H Ledyard                 3-16     -13    -3    ---   -6.58
   429 H Wheeler-No Stonington  13- 4       9    12          -1.00
   501 A East Lyme               8-12      -4   -15    +++    6.00
   505 H Valley Regional        15- 4      11     6    +      3.25
   508 H Saint Bernard          16- 1      15     9           0.31
   510 A Suffield HS             8-12      -4    -4           0.11
   512 A Tolland                 9-11      -2     1    -     -3.17
   513 H Old Lyme                4-19     -15   -16           0.00
   515 H Farmington              7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.68
   519 H Morgan-Clinton          5-11      -6    -1    --    -4.30
   521 A East Lyme               5-14      -9   -15           1.00
   531 A Old Lyme                2-15     -13   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Ledyard                 3-16     -13    -3    ---   -6.58
   519 H Morgan-Clinton          5-11      -6    -1    --    -4.30
   414 A Norwich Free Academy    6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.29
   417 A Ledyard                 7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.74
   422 A Waterford              11- 8       3     5    -     -2.82
   512 A Tolland                 9-11      -2     1    -     -3.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Narragansett           12- 6       6   -16    +++        
   501 A East Lyme               8-12      -4   -15    +++    6.00
   410 H Woodstock Academy      17- 5      12     5    ++     4.96
   505 H Valley Regional        15- 4      11     6    +      3.25
   515 H Farmington              7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.04 Local Power Rank...........    50
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.99 Local SOS Rank.............    47
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    43
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    63
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    58
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.3
/