Region = MN    West             
   Nickname = N Orioles              Coach  =   Kevin Reed            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.7349472    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 416 A Orono                  MN    West    (10- 4, 95.0)     7- 5   
 417 H Trinity School         MN    Indep   ( 0- 2, 73.9)    14- 1   
 418 H Holy Family            MN    West    ( 1-11, 79.4)    11- 1   
 421 H Henry Sibley           MN    Indep   ( 1- 4, 80.3)    11- 2   
 423 A Forest Lake            MN    East    ( 4-10, 83.2)     7- 1   
 430 H St Paul                MN    East    ( 9- 3, 96.0)     6- 9   
 503 A Champlin Park          MN    North   (17- 2, 99.9)     6-10   
 505 H Spring Lake Park       MN    East    ( 3-10, 80.7)    15- 1   
 507 A Buffalo                MN    West    ( 5- 8, 90.8)     7-14   
 509 H MontiQuois             MN    West    ( 6- 7, 90.9)    10- 8   
 512 H St Cloud Tech          MN    West    ( 8- 7, 91.1)     9- 5   
 514 H Hastings               MN    South   ( 1-13, 78.8)    10- 1   
 515 A Hopkins                MN    Classic ( 2-13, 75.3)     6- 3   
 517 N Janesville             WI    MALAWht ( 4-14, 80.0)     5- 9   
 517 N Sun Prairie            WI    MALAWht (15- 6, 92.5)     3-10   
 518 N Madison Memorial       WI    MALARed ( 0-14, 67.1)    16- 2   
 529 H Hastings               MN    South   ( 1-13, 78.8)    10- 4   
 602 H Blaine                 MN    North   (10- 4, 92.5)     4- 3   
 604 H Andover                MN    North   (17- 3, 98.9)     9- 8 2o
 607 N Champlin Park          MN    North   (17- 2, 99.9)     8- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Orono                   7- 5       2    -1    +      3.82
   417 H Trinity School         14- 1      13    21           0.00
   418 H Holy Family            11- 1      10    16           0.00
   421 H Henry Sibley           11- 2       9    15          -1.00
   423 A Forest Lake             7- 1       6     9    -     -3.96
   430 H St Paul                 6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.61
   503 A Champlin Park           6-10      -4    -6    +      2.71
   505 H Spring Lake Park       15- 1      14    14           0.00
   507 A Buffalo                 7-14      -7     2    ---   -9.40
   509 H MontiQuois             10- 8       2     4    -     -2.71
   512 H St Cloud Tech           9- 5       4     4          -0.47
   514 H Hastings               10- 1       9    16          -1.00
   515 A Hopkins                 6- 3       3    17          n/a  
   517 N Janesville              5- 9      -4    14          n/a  
   517 N Sun Prairie             3-10      -7     1          n/a  
   518 N Madison Memorial       16- 2      14    27          n/a  
   529 H Hastings               10- 4       6    16    --    -4.00
   602 H Blaine                  4- 3       1     3    -     -2.10
   604 H Andover                 9- 8 2o    1    -3    ++     4.30
   607 N Champlin Park           8- 7       1    -5    +++    6.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Buffalo                 7-14      -7     2    ---   -9.40
   515 A Hopkins                 6- 3       3    17    ---        
   517 N Janesville              5- 9      -4    14    ---        
   517 N Sun Prairie             3-10      -7     1    ---        
   529 H Hastings               10- 4       6    16    --    -4.00
   423 A Forest Lake             7- 1       6     9    -     -3.96
   430 H St Paul                 6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.61
   509 H MontiQuois             10- 8       2     4    -     -2.71
   602 H Blaine                  4- 3       1     3    -     -2.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   607 N Champlin Park           8- 7       1    -5    +++    6.50
   604 H Andover                 9- 8 2o    1    -3    ++     4.30
   416 A Orono                   7- 5       2    -1    +      3.82
   503 A Champlin Park           6-10      -4    -6    +      2.71
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.40 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.63 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.175.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/