Conf =  GMC                       Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Marc Moreau           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9714355    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Pingry                 NJ    Grp-B   ( 5-10, 79.3)     7- 6   
 403 A East Brunswick         NJ    Grp-IV  (10- 8, 79.8)    16- 7   
 405 H Hillsborough           NJ    Grp-IV  (10- 9, 83.2)     9-10   
 407 A Old Bridge             NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7-12, 74.8)    15- 5   
 408 A South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (15- 6, 85.1)     8- 6   
 414 A J.P. Stevens           NJ    Grp-IV  ( 3-15, 61.9)    19- 0   
 416 H Bergen Catholic        NJ    Grp-A   (10- 7, 88.8)     8- 7  o
 419 H Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (13- 4, 87.7)     8- 9   
 421 H J.P. Stevens           NJ    Grp-IV  ( 3-15, 61.9)    17- 2   
 422 H East Brunswick         NJ    Grp-IV  (10- 8, 79.8)    14- 3   
 425 A North Brunswick        NJ    Grp-III ( 9-10, 76.2)    15- 2   
 426 H Edison                 NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7-11, 72.2)    16- 4   
 429 H South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (15- 6, 85.1)    11- 4   
 502 A Immaculata             NJ    Grp-B   (12- 5, 89.9)     2- 7   
 503 H Old Bridge             NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7-12, 74.8)    12- 4   
 506 H North Brunswick        NJ    Grp-III ( 9-10, 76.2)    17- 5   
 508 A Edison                 NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7-11, 72.2)    15- 2   
 510 A Bridgewater-Raritan    NJ    Grp-IV  (10-13, 84.0)     7- 4   
 514 H North Brunswick        NJ    Grp-III ( 9-10, 76.2)    19- 5   
 516 H South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (15- 6, 85.1)    17-12   
 522 H Don Bosco Prep         NJ    Grp-A   (13- 9, 88.6)     9- 4   
 527 A Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (18- 4, 96.2)     2-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Pingry                  7- 6       1    11    ---   -9.00
   403 A East Brunswick         16- 7       9     8           0.45
   405 H Hillsborough            9-10      -1     7    ---   -8.37
   407 A Old Bridge             15- 5      10    13           0.00
   408 A South Brunswick         8- 6       2     3          -1.23
   414 A J.P. Stevens           19- 0      19    26           0.00
   416 H Bergen Catholic         8- 7  o    1     1          -0.81
   419 H Seton Hall Prep         8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.85
   421 H J.P. Stevens           17- 2      15    28           0.00
   422 H East Brunswick         14- 3      11    10           0.00
   425 A North Brunswick        15- 2      13    12           0.00
   426 H Edison                 16- 4      12    18           0.00
   429 H South Brunswick        11- 4       7     5           1.56
   502 A Immaculata              2- 7      -5    -1    -     -3.52
   503 H Old Bridge             12- 4       8    15    -     -2.00
   506 H North Brunswick        17- 5      12    14           0.00
   508 A Edison                 15- 2      13    16           0.00
   510 A Bridgewater-Raritan     7- 4       3     4          -1.37
   514 H North Brunswick        19- 5      14    14           0.00
   516 H South Brunswick        17-12       5     5          -0.44
   522 H Don Bosco Prep          9- 4       5     1    +      3.01
   527 A Delbarton               2-10      -8    -7          -0.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Pingry                  7- 6       1    11    ---   -9.00
   405 H Hillsborough            9-10      -1     7    ---   -8.37
   419 H Seton Hall Prep         8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.85
   502 A Immaculata              2- 7      -5    -1    -     -3.52
   503 H Old Bridge             12- 4       8    15    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 H Don Bosco Prep          9- 4       5     1    +      3.01
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.48 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.36 Local SOS Rank.............    43
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   133
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/