Region = NY P  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Mike Greco            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.2570953    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Aquinas Institute      NY B  Sec 5   (15- 6, 88.8)     5- 9   
 410 H McQuaid Jesuit         NY A  Sec 5   (15- 5, 88.9)     7- 9   
 411 H Cathedral Prep         PA    2DNORTH ( 2-14, 76.3)    19- 2   
 414 H Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 71.8)    13- 2   
 417 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 79.5)     7- 5   
 421 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (12- 9, 87.6)     7- 8  o
 423 H Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   (14- 4, 91.9)     2-11   
 424 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 84.6)     5- 9   
 430 H Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   (10-10, 85.7)     7- 4   
 501 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 71.8)     9- 1   
 505 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 79.5)     6- 5   
 510 A McQuaid Jesuit         NY A  Sec 5   (15- 5, 88.9)     9-10  o
 513 A Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   (14- 4, 91.9)     1- 7   
 515 A Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   (10-10, 85.7)     6- 7   
 517 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 8, 86.6)     4- 5   
 520 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 77.5)     8- 3   
 522 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 80.5)     9- 8   
 527 N Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   (10-10, 85.7)     9-10  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Aquinas Institute       5- 9      -4    -5          n/a  
   410 H McQuaid Jesuit          7- 9      -2    -3          n/a  
   411 H Cathedral Prep         19- 2      17     8          n/a  
   414 H Nichols                13- 2      11    13           0.00
   417 A St Joseph Collegiate    7- 5       2     3          -1.90
   421 A West Seneca East        7- 8  o   -1    -4    +      3.20
   423 H Timon St Jude           2-11      -9    -7          -1.91
   424 A Iroquois                5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.84
   430 H Canisius                7- 4       3     0    +      3.88
   501 A Nichols                 9- 1       8    11    -     -2.00
   505 H St Joseph Collegiate    6- 5       1     5    --    -4.35
   510 A McQuaid Jesuit          9-10  o   -1    -5          n/a  
   513 A Timon St Jude           1- 7      -6    -8    +      2.55
   515 A Canisius                6- 7      -1    -2           1.33
   517 A Clarence                4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.16
   520 A Williamsville South     8- 3       5     5          -0.86
   522 H Grand Island            9- 8       1     4    -     -3.33
   527 N Canisius                9-10  o   -1    -1           0.61

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H St Joseph Collegiate    6- 5       1     5    --    -4.35
   424 A Iroquois                5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.84
   501 A Nichols                 9- 1       8    11    -     -2.00
   522 H Grand Island            9- 8       1     4    -     -3.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A McQuaid Jesuit          9-10  o   -1    -5    ++         
   421 A West Seneca East        7- 8  o   -1    -4    +      3.20
   430 H Canisius                7- 4       3     0    +      3.88
   513 A Timon St Jude           1- 7      -6    -8    +      2.55
   517 A Clarence                4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.12 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.39 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/