St Mary's Blue                7 - 3


 
                                     Region = NY I  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lancers                                               



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   95.8292313    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 N Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 8- 5, 92.8)     6-10   
 407 A Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   ( 5- 5, 92.0)     2- 1   
 410 A Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 8- 5, 92.8)     6- 5  o
 411 A Erie-Spears            NY I  Sec 6   ( 4- 5, 83.8)     1- 2   
 415 A Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 9- 2, 99.9)     2- 9   
 424 H Lew-Port               NY I  Sec 6   ( 1- 9, 83.8)     1- 0   
 428 H Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 1- 6, 86.4)  6
 430 H Erie-Spears            NY I  Sec 6   ( 4- 5, 83.8)  7
 503 N St Mary's White        NY I  Sec 6   ( 3- 7, 91.7)     1- 0   
 505 A Lew-Port               NY I  Sec 6   ( 1- 9, 83.8)     7- 6   
 508 A Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 8- 5, 92.8)     6- 5   
 509 A Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   ( 5- 5, 92.0)     5- 2   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 N Gow School              6-10      -4     1    --    -5.99
   407 A Genesee                 2- 1       1     2          -1.72
   410 A Gow School              6- 5  o    1     1          -0.91
   411 A Erie-Spears             1- 2      -1    10    ---  -11.00
   415 A Kenmore East            2- 9      -7    -5          -1.85
   505 A Lew-Port                7- 6       1    10    ---   -9.00
   508 A Gow School              6- 5       1     1          -0.91
   509 A Genesee                 5- 2       3     2           0.28


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Erie-Spears             1- 2      -1    10    ---  -11.00
   505 A Lew-Port                7- 6       1    10    ---   -9.00
   404 N Gow School              6-10      -4     1    --    -5.99


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.84 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.49 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.145.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7


  
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